Broncosat49ers

DenverSan Francisco

The charts as they stand today.

The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 3 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps. "Faced" is the average rank of the units across from them so far.

Each team's own record in a spot like this one, against its record everywhere else. A reason to lean, not a bet.

Broncos have covered 1 of the last 1 meetings

Last time, 2022 week 3: 49ers 10, Broncos 11, Broncos covered.

1-0against the spread

Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Broncos +3 and Over 48.5.

Broncos +3strongmissed

1,422 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 463.

3.1xluck's count

Over 48.5somemissed, 38 points

1,704 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 781.

2.2xluck's count

Each player's own record in a spot like this one, his best stat first.

Christian McCaffreyRBhit, 1 rush TD

Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a rushing touchdown. 2 of 12 everywhere else, 2025-2026.

9 of 10last 10

George KittleTEmissed, 4 catches

George Kittle has 7 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 6+ catches. 9 of 34 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

7 of 10last 10

Courtland SuttonWRmissed, 4 rec yds

Courtland Sutton has 9 of his last 10 games outdoors as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards. 28 of 45 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

9 of 10last 10

5 more player trends

Brock PurdyQBmissed, 218 pass yds

Brock Purdy has 7 of his last 10 games at home with 250+ passing yards. 11 of 24 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

7 of 10last 10

George KittleTEhit, 70 rec yds

George Kittle has 9 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards. 18 of 34 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

9 of 10last 10

Christian McCaffreyRBhit, 52 rush yds

Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards. 7 of 12 everywhere else, 2025-2026.

9 of 10last 10

Christian McCaffreyRBmissed, 70 yds

Christian McCaffrey has 7 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 100+ yards from scrimmage. 5 of 12 everywhere else, 2025-2026.

7 of 10last 10

Brock PurdyQBhit, 2 pass TD

Brock Purdy has 7 of his last 10 games outdoors as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns. 7 of 13 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

7 of 10last 10

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Graded: the official card went 0-1; picks on test went 0-3.

Over 47.5official, 1ulost -1u

Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay). Stamped Wed 9:08 PM ET.

DEN +3on test, no stakelost -0u

All-angles evidence +4.1 past luck. Stamped Fri 12:23 PM ET.

Kyle Juszczyk under 1.5 catches (-220)on test, no stakelost, 2 catches

Under 1.5 in 15 of 24 outdoors. Stamped Sat 8:23 AM ET.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey anytime TD (1600)on test, no stake

Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026). Stamped Sat 8:23 AM ET.

2 more plays

Adam Trautman over 5.5 receiving yards (-110.0)on test, no stakelost, 0 receiving yards

Stamped Sat 12:24 PM ET.

Jordan Watkins anytime TDwithdrawn

Pulled Oct 3 when it stopped qualifying.