The angles leaned Dolphins +10 and Over 38.5: 1 of 2 hit. The model's reads, Over 42.5: it lost.
Where it turned: the run game. Expect the Dolphins to give up on the run early.Sunday: Dolphins ran for 121 yards on 18 carries.
Depth charts
The charts as they stand today.
Head to head
The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.
Dolphins with the ball
Vikings with the ball
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 3 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps. "Faced" is the average rank of the units across from them so far.
Team trends
Each team's own record in a spot like this one, against its record everywhere else. A reason to lean, not a bet.
Team angles
Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Dolphins +10 and Over 38.5.
The strongest angles behind each side, in plain words
Behind Dolphins +10
They were an underdog by 10+ points last game and have missed the spread by 6+ a game. 91-38
They're getting outscored by about 13 points a game, and the opponent covered two games ago. 121-63
Behind Over 38.5
This ref has worked 8 games or fewer, and the opponent has missed the spread their last game or more. 73-35
This ref has worked 8 games or fewer, and the opponent covers the spread 40% of the time or less. 60-28
Player trends
Each player's own record in a spot like this one, his best stat first.
Player angles
No player line on this game was archived with a read.
Model plays
Graded: the official card went 1-1; picks on test went 1-1.
3 more plays
