JaguarsatBengals

JacksonvilleCincinnati

The charts as they stand today.

The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 3 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps. "Faced" is the average rank of the units across from them so far.

Each team's own record in a spot like this one, against its record everywhere else. A reason to lean, not a bet.

Bengals have gone over 8 of 9 as a home favorite after a lossmissed, 39 points

46 of 92 everywhere else, 2020-2026, Taylor and Burrow · points to Over 51.5

8 of 9in this spot

Bengals have covered 10 of 12 as a favorite with a total of 48 or highermissed

48 of 88 everywhere else, 2020-2026, Taylor and Burrow · points to Bengals -2.5

10 of 12in this spot

Jaguars have gone under 5 of 7 with a total of 48 or higherhit, 39 points

21 of 47 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach in 2025 · points to Under 51.5

5 of 7in this spot

2 more team trends

Jaguars have covered 5 of 7 with a total of 48 or highercovered

28 of 47 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach in 2025 · points to Jaguars +2.5

5 of 7in this spot

Bengals have covered 3 of the last 4 meetings

Last time, 2025 week 2: Jaguars 27, Bengals 31, Bengals covered.

3-1against the spread

Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Bengals -2.5 and Over 51.5.

Bengals -2.5somemissed

923 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 518.

1.8xluck's count

Over 51.5somemissed, 39 points

1,742 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 884.

2.0xluck's count

Each player's own record in a spot like this one, his best stat first.

Ja'Marr ChaseWRmissed, 3 catches

Ja'Marr Chase has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 6+ catches. 19 of 32 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

9 of 10last 10

Chase BrownRBmissed, 10 rush yds

Chase Brown has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards. 8 of 18 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

8 of 10last 10

Tee HigginsWRmissed, 0 rec TD

Tee Higgins has 7 of his last 10 games at home with a receiving touchdown. 13 of 30 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

7 of 10last 10

3 more player trends

Joe BurrowQBhit, 428 pass yds

Joe Burrow has 7 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 250+ passing yards. 19 of 32 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

7 of 10last 10

Tee HigginsWRhit, 157 rec yds

Tee Higgins has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards. 9 of 16 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

8 of 10last 10

Ja'Marr ChaseWRmissed, 27 rec yds

Ja'Marr Chase has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards. 23 of 32 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

9 of 10last 10

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Graded: the official card went 0-1; picks on test went 1-0.

Over 51.5official, 1ulost -1u

Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay). Stamped Wed 9:08 PM ET.

Parker Washington under 5.5 catches (-125)on test, no stakewon, 1 catches

Under 5.5 in 19 of 22 outdoors. Stamped Wed 9:08 PM ET.

Drew Sample over 6.5 receiving yards (-120.0)on test, no stake

Stamped Fri 8:20 AM ET.

Brian Thomas Jr. anytime TD (440)on test, no stake

Anytime TD priced past Kalshi's chance (new in 2026). Stamped Sat 12:24 PM ET.

1 more plays

Josh Cameron over 8.5 receiving yardswithdrawn

Pulled Oct 3 when it stopped qualifying; it would have won.