The angles leaned Bears -3.5 and Over 43.5: 1 of 2 hit. The model's reads, Over 43.5: it lost.
Where it turned: the run game. Expect the Bears to give up on the run early.Sunday: Bears ran for 232 yards on 54 carries.
Depth charts
The charts as they stand today.
Head to head
The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.
Jets with the ball
Bears with the ball
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 3 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps. "Faced" is the average rank of the units across from them so far.
Team trends
Each team's own record in a spot like this one, against its record everywhere else. A reason to lean, not a bet.
Team angles
Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Bears -3.5 and Over 43.5.
The strongest angles behind each side, in plain words
Behind Bears -3.5
The opponent covers 67%+ this season and is banged up worse, injury cost 19.5+ higher. 85-43
Behind Over 43.5
6 days rest or less and the opponent covers 70% of games this season. 86-44
They've come off 1 or fewer Monday-night games and the opponent covers 70%+ this season. 54-25
Player trends
Each player's own record in a spot like this one, his best stat first.
Player angles
No player line on this game was archived with a read.
Model plays
Graded: the official card went 1-0; picks on test went 0-1.