LionsatPanthers

DetroitCarolina

The charts as they stand today.

The longer bar is the better unit, and it takes its team's colour. A long coloured bar against a short grey one is where a side has the edge.

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 3 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps. "Faced" is the average rank of the units across from them so far.

Each team's own record in a spot like this one, against its record everywhere else. A reason to lean, not a bet.

Lions have gone over 18 of 25 as a favorite with a total of 48 or higherhit, 58 points

31 of 61 everywhere else, 2021-2026, Campbell and Goff · points to Over 52.5

18 of 25in this spot

Lions have covered 7 of 8 as a road favorite with a total of 48 or highermissed

47 of 77 everywhere else, 2021-2026, Campbell and Goff · points to Lions -4.5

7 of 8in this spot

Panthers have covered 2 of the last 3 meetings

Last time, 2023 week 5: Panthers 24, Lions 42, Lions covered.

2-1against the spread

Every past game that looked like this one, counted by the side it covered. More of them than luck would give point at Lions -4.5.

Lions -4.5somemissed

1,413 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 644.

2.2xluck's count

Under 52.5could be luckmissed, 58 points

2,974 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 2,318.

1.3xluck's count

Each player's own record in a spot like this one, his best stat first.

Jared GoffQBmissed, 1 pass TD

Jared Goff has 7 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns. 8 of 23 everywhere else, 2025-2026.

7 of 10last 10

Sam LaPortaTEhit, 84 rec yds

Sam LaPorta has 7 of his last 10 games in prime time with 50+ receiving yards. 10 of 28 everywhere else, 2024-2026.

7 of 10last 10

Jahmyr GibbsRBmissed, 46 rush yds

Jahmyr Gibbs has 9 of his last 10 games on the road as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards. 23 of 37 everywhere else, 2024-2025.

9 of 10last 10

4 more player trends

Amon-Ra St. BrownWRmissed, 0 rec TD

Amon-Ra St. Brown has 7 of his last 10 games on the road as a favorite with a receiving touchdown. 23 of 52 everywhere else, 2024-2025.

7 of 10last 10

Jared GoffQBhit, 412 pass yds

Jared Goff has 7 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 250+ passing yards. 12 of 23 everywhere else, 2025-2026.

7 of 10last 10

Amon-Ra St. BrownWRhit, 75 rec yds

Amon-Ra St. Brown has 9 of his last 10 games on the road as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards. 40 of 52 everywhere else, 2024-2025.

9 of 10last 10

Jahmyr GibbsRBhit, 1 rush TD

Jahmyr Gibbs has 5 of his last 7 games outdoors as a favorite with a rushing touchdown. 23 of 45 everywhere else, 2023-2025.

5 of 7last 7

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Graded: picks on test went 2-3.

Isaac TeSlaa under 1.5 catches (-120)on test, no stakelost, 4 catches

CAR allow 1.11x league yards a target to 6'3"+ receivers, 1.06x their number on short ones. Stamped Wed 11:42 PM ET.

Amon-Ra St. Brown under 77.5 receiving yards (-115)on test, no stakewon, 75 receiving yards

Under 77.5 in 9 of 10 on the road as a favorite. Stamped Fri 8:20 AM ET.

Jahmyr Gibbs over 97.5 rushing yards (-115)on test, no stakelost, 46 rushing yards

Over 97.5 in 3 of 5 outdoors as a favorite. Stamped Fri 8:20 AM ET.

Jameson Williams under 51.5 receiving yards (-115)on test, no stakelost, 102 receiving yards

Under 51.5 in 3 of 5 in prime time outdoors. Stamped Fri 8:20 AM ET.

1 more plays

Darren Waller over 23.5 receiving yards (-120)on test, no stakewon, 36 receiving yards

Over 23.5 in 8 of 11 games. Stamped Fri 12:23 PM ET.