Week 2 Betting Card: Line Moves and Model Disagreements

Season: 2026 | Spreads are the home-team line from our daily log; "open" is the first observation we recorded. The model number is our walk-forward spread - where it disagrees with the market is information, not a pick.

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Where the Lines Moved

Quiet board - no spread has moved half a point since we started logging this week.

Model vs Market

• SEA @ ARI: market says ARI +10.0, the model says ARI +0.7 - a 9.3-point gap in ARI's favor.
• GB @ NYJ: market says NYJ +5.5, the model says NYJ -1.2 - a 6.7-point gap in NYJ's favor.
• MIA @ SF: market says SF -10.5, the model says SF -4.0 - a 6.5-point gap in MIA's favor.
• PHI @ TEN: market says TEN +4.5, the model says TEN -1.4 - a 5.9-point gap in TEN's favor.
• LV @ LAC: market says LAC -8.5, the model says LAC -3.1 - a 5.4-point gap in LV's favor.

The Full Board

Every game, every angle, the model's number vs the market: Betting hub → · Angle finder →