Week 2 Betting Card: Line Moves and Model Disagreements

Season: 2026 | Spreads are the home-team line from our daily log; "open" is the first observation we recorded. The model number is our walk-forward spread - where it disagrees with the market is information, not a pick.

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Where the Lines Moved

Quiet board - no spread has moved half a point since we started logging this week.

Model vs Market

SEA @ ARI: market says ARI +10.0, the model says ARI +0.9 - a 9.1-point gap in ARI's favor.

MIA @ SF: market says SF -10.5, the model says SF -3.2 - a 7.3-point gap in MIA's favor.

GB @ NYJ: market says NYJ +5.5, the model says NYJ -1.1 - a 6.6-point gap in NYJ's favor.

LV @ LAC: market says LAC -8.5, the model says LAC -2.2 - a 6.2-point gap in LV's favor.

NO @ BAL: market says BAL -7.5, the model says BAL -1.8 - a 5.7-point gap in NO's favor.

The Full Board

Every game, every angle, the model's number vs the market: Betting hub → · Angle finder →