| Rank | Player | Pos | Team | ADP | Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 1.2 | Gibbs projects for 68.9% run share and 271 carries in a tier-2 run offense, a clear step up from 56.4% in 2025, but ADP leaves almost no margin for error. |
| 2 | De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 15.8 | Achane projects to nearly double his run share to 68.3% in 2026, making him the RB1 overall despite a tier-6 QB situation. |
| 3 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 6.0 | At 30, McCaffrey still projects 331 points and goes 3 picks ahead of his ADP, but a tier-6 run offense and shrinking target share demand scrutiny. |
| 4 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | IND | 7.8 | Taylor finished RB3 in 2025 on a tier-2 run offense, and a projected jump to 14.2% target share makes the 2026 ceiling even wider. |
| 5 | Bijan Robinson | RB | ATL | 1.8 | A 76.3% projected run share and 324 carries make Bijan Robinson the clearest bell-cow argument in the entire draft. |
| 6 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 4.0 | Three straight WR1 finishes with a 30% target share in a tier-1 pass offense, but the market is pricing him two rounds ahead of our projection. |
| 7 | James Cook | RB | BUF | 11.2 | Cook's 63.8% projected run share in a tier-1 run offense gives him a ceiling of 340 points, but his target share is shrinking just as D.J. Moore joins the Buffalo passing tree. |
| 8 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 7.4 | Three straight WR3-or-better finishes, a 30.8% target share in a tier-1 passing offense, and near-zero bust risk make ARSB the safest WR2 on the board. |
| 9 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 3.0 | The market has Chase as a top-3 pick, but a projected target share dip and pass offense upgrade suggest fair value, not a bargain. |
| 10 | Derrick Henry | RB | BAL | 21.8 | Henry turns 32 in January but posted a 99th-percentile YPG mark in 2025 and projects for a 65.2% run share in a tier-1 run offense. |
| 11 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 5.2 | JSN owns a 33.5% target share and 100th-percentile target rate, but ADP prices him roughly two rounds ahead of where our model lands him. |
| 12 | CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 11.0 | A tier-1 pass offense WR4 at ADP 11.2 with 150 projected targets and a 196 floor that makes a bust nearly impossible. |
| 13 | Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 26.0 | The consensus top rookie RB lands in a bottom-tier offense with Jacoby Brissett at QB, making the 38.6% projected run share the entire investment thesis. |
| 14 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | 31.2 | Williams repeated his RB2-level 249-point finish in 2025, but a shrinking run share and Blake Corum's presence keep the ceiling tighter than the ADP suggests. |
| 15 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 25.8 | Allen finished QB1 in 2025 at 391 points and projects nearly identical in 2026, but the market prices him 11 picks below where the model lands him. |
| 16 | Trey McBride | TE | ARI | 20.6 | The TE1 overall and elite-tier target share machine faces a QB situation downgrade that keeps the ceiling from matching last year's 252-point finish. |
| 17 | A.J. Brown | WR | NE | 19.4 | Brown lands in a tier-1 passing offense with Drake Maye ascending, projecting 127 targets and a 178-point floor as the clear WR1 alpha in New England. |
| 18 | Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 23.0 | Collins posted a 216-point WR1 season on a tier-4 passing offense; the 2026 projection holds near that line, but the QB situation just got weaker. |
| 19 | Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 40.4 | A 78% projected run share with a 129-to-256 floor-to-ceiling spread makes Jacobs a volume bet, but at age 28 in a tier-4 run offense, the margin for error is thin. |
| 20 | Chase Brown | RB | CIN | 16.8 | Chase Brown projects 65.9% run share in a tier-1 QB situation, but a tier-7 run offense and a contracting 210-point projection make the ADP a real conversation. |
| 21 | Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 35.0 | Flowers projects 28.7% target share and sits roughly two rounds ahead of ADP, making him one of the clearest market discounts at WR in 2026. |
| 22 | Javonte Williams | RB | DAL | 34.4 | Williams posted 243 points and a 60% run share in 2025, but the model sees that share dropping to 50% in 2026, and the ceiling math gets tight. |
| 23 | George Pickens | WR | DAL | 24.0 | Pickens lands in a tier-1 passing offense with elite YAC and EPA grades, but a projected target-share dip from 23% to 21.1% keeps the ceiling honest. |
| 24 | Chris Olave | WR | NO | 28.0 | A 28% target share in a tier-6 pass offense kept Olave at WR11 in 2025, and the 2026 projection slides backward to 26.2% with a shaky QB room. |
| 25 | Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 10.2 | Elite target share in a bottom-tier passing offense makes Jefferson the most frustrating WR14 on the board. |
| 26 | Drake London | WR | ATL | 17.6 | London's 30% target share and elite volume floor are real, but the market is pricing him nearly two rounds ahead of where our model lands. |
| 27 | D'Andre Swift | RB | CHI | 52.6 | Swift projects a 55% run share in a tier-2 run offense and is going roughly two rounds later than his numbers suggest he should. |
| 28 | Rashee Rice | WR | KC | 27.8 | Rice returns a 27.4% target share and 258 actual points in 2025, but the model sees a slight role dip and projects him roughly nine picks ahead of his ADP value. |
| 29 | Omarion Hampton | RB | LAC | 15.4 | Hampton posted 226 fantasy points as a rookie but faces a shrinking 47% run share in a tier-5 run offense, making volume the central question at ADP 16. |
| 30 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 57.2 | Tier-1 passing offense, elite weapons added, and a 353-point projection that the market is pricing nearly two rounds too late. |
| 31 | Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 38.0 | Higgins projects 110 targets in a tier-2 passing offense, but that 6th-percentile separation grade is a real flag on a 199-point WR2 near the third round. |
| 32 | Saquon Barkley | RB | PHI | 15.0 | Barkley projects for a slight run-share bump to 64.3% in 2026, but the model sees regression from his 227-point 2025 finish and his ADP is roughly two rounds ahead of where we have him. |
| 33 | DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 28.4 | A.J. Brown's departure hands Smith a 25% target share and the clear WR1 role, but the market is pricing him roughly two rounds ahead of our projection. |
| 34 | Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 82.6 | Waddle's arrival shrinks Sutton's target share to 18.8%, but the market is pricing him nearly two rounds too late to ignore. |
| 35 | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE | 53.6 | At 22 with a 90th-percentile EPA rank and roughly two rounds of ADP value, Henderson is the Patriots' most efficient back in a tier-1 run offense. |
| 36 | Breece Hall | RB | NYJ | 31.6 | Hall projects for a 73.8% run share in 2026, but his ADP prices him roughly a round ahead of where the model lands him. |
| 37 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 96.6 | Purdy sits roughly four rounds ahead of his ADP as a tier-1 QB situation with a 260-floor and 390-ceiling playing behind the league's most complete supporting cast. |
| 38 | Brock Bowers | TE | LV | 18.2 | The TE3 rank undersells a 24.1% target share and 97th-percentile target rate, but a tier-7 pass offense and near-zero TD projection create a real ceiling problem. |
| 39 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | 51.8 | Adams posted 234 fantasy points in 2025 and lands in a tier-1 pass offense at an ADP roughly two rounds above our projection, making the value case real but narrow. |
| 40 | Cam Skattebo | RB | NYG | 42.2 | A tier-1 run offense and 45.8% projected run share make Skattebo roughly two rounds cheaper than he should be. |
| 41 | Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 54.4 | Williams posted 186.6 actual points in 2025 and ranks in the 90th percentile for YPG, yet the market still prices him nearly a round above where we land. |
| 42 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | 83.6 | Pierce's 4-year extension locks in WR2 role on a weak offense, but a 95th-percentile EPA rank and rising 19.6% target share say the production is real. |
| 43 | Christian Watson | WR | GB | 60.2 | Watson's 92nd-percentile EPA and a projected jump to 22% target share make him a legit WR2 value sitting roughly two rounds past his ADP. |
| 44 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 70.2 | Hurts jumps from 326 to a projected 343 fantasy points as a tier-4 pass offense, yet ADP prices him nearly two rounds too late. |
| 45 | Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 51.2 | Judkins ran a 66.6% share in 2025 but faces a real backfield squeeze in 2026, making the price at ADP 50.2 worth scrutinizing. |
| 46 | Ashton Jeanty | RB | LV | 10.6 | Jeanty's 73% run share delivered an RB1 finish as a rookie, but the model sees shrinking volume and a tier-8 run offense as real headwinds at ADP 11. |
| 47 | Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 75.4 | Kraft projects 98 targets and a 20.5% target share as the Packers' top option, but a slipping QB situation tier makes the ceiling narrower than the TE2 price tag suggests. |
| 48 | Ladd McConkey | WR | LAC | 40.8 | McConkey's 21% target share and elite YAC profile are real, but a tier-4 passing offense and ADP roughly 17 picks ahead of our projection make the price hard to justify. |
| 49 | Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 56.2 | Warren projects 129 targets and a 23.9% target share at age 22, but the market has him priced as a top-60 pick while we see a TE5. |
| 50 | Garrett Wilson | WR | NYJ | 40.2 | A 30.1% target share in a tier-8 passing offense last year is the exact ceiling, and 2026 projects a step down to 27.4%. |
| 51 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 92.6 | Dart stepped into a tier-6 offense in 2025 and still posted 295 fantasy points; a tier-4 upgrade and 338 pass attempts project him as a QB3 priced 60 picks deep. |
| 52 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | CAR | 40.8 | The market prices McMillan as a WR2, but a tier-7 pass offense and a shrinking target share make that ADP a tough sell. |
| 53 | Mike Evans | WR | SF | 54.4 | A tier-2 passing offense upgrade fuels a modest projection bump from 148 actual to 168, but a 20.6% target share at age 33 caps the ceiling tighter than ADP suggests. |
| 54 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | DEN | 50.0 | Waddle arrives in Denver as the clear WR1, but a tier-4 pass offense and a 0.05 projected TD rate make this a volume-over-upside bet near WR19. |
| 55 | Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 74.0 | Warren posted 209 fantasy points in 2025 but faces a shrinking 45% projected run share in a tier-6 run offense, making him a value play only at the right price. |
| 56 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 80.8 | Lawrence's 342-point 2025 finish projects nearly flat in 2026, but his ADP sits roughly two rounds past where the model values him as a QB1. |
| 57 | Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | JAX | 65.8 | At 23 with 100 projected targets in a tier-2 pass offense, Thomas is a WR2 priced just inside his actual value with a crowded target tree keeping the ceiling honest. |
| 58 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 46.0 | Lamar's QB situation tier dropped from tier-1 to tier-2 and the market still prices him 25 picks ahead of our projection. |
| 59 | DK Metcalf | WR | PIT | 80.2 | Pittsburgh's new offense under Mike McCarthy projects a shrinking 18.9% target share for Metcalf, and the tier-5 pass offense makes that math hard to ignore at WR36. |
| 60 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 94.4 | Mahomes projects as a QB9 with roughly 25 points of value over his ADP, though a tier-4 pass offense keeps the ceiling tighter than his name implies. |
| 61 | Kenneth Walker III | RB | KC | 17.4 | Walker lands in KC with a projected 54.2% run share, but a tier-6 run offense and negative ADP value make this a tough price to pay. |
| 62 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 129.6 | Shakir's elite separation and YAC ability are real, but D.J. Moore's arrival shrinks his target share from 20.5% to 17.6% and caps his ceiling at 195.8 points. |
| 63 | Rome Odunze | WR | CHI | 61.4 | Odunze's 23.6% target share held firm in year one, but a projecting catch rate and flat role make him a WR3 priced like a WR2. |
| 64 | Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 49.2 | McLaurin's 23.6% target share holds steady, but a tier-5 pass offense and negative ADP value make him a market fade at his current price. |
| 65 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | JAX | 105.0 | Listed at WR3 on the depth chart behind Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter, Meyers is nonetheless the team's top projected target earner and roughly 33 picks cheaper than where the model values him. |
| 66 | Kenneth Gainwell | RB | TB | 97.2 | Gainwell projects as a change-of-pace RB3 in a bottom-tier run offense, but his ADP sits roughly 40 picks too high for the volume he's expected to see. |
| 67 | Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 37.0 | Nabers posted a 29.9% target share and 204 half-PPR points in 2025, but a tier-5 pass offense and shrinking projected share make the WR20 price tag a tough sell. |
| 68 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | ARI | 72.4 | The market prices Harrison as a WR2, but a tier-7 QB situation and shrinking 16.2% target share make him a risky reach roughly 30 picks ahead of our projection. |
| 69 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 75.6 | A tier-1 passing offense with CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens in the target tree keeps Prescott a viable QB2 near his ADP despite modest ceiling. |
| 70 | Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 89.2 | Johnston finished WR2 in LAC in 2025 at 193 points, but a thinner projected target share and a tier-4 pass offense keep the ceiling honest at 202. |
| 71 | Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | CLE | 83.8 | A 22-year-old TE4 projecting 107 targets in a bottom-tier passing offense, the market is roughly 13 picks too high on him. |
| 72 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | TEN | 106.0 | Elite target volume in a thin tree, but a tier-8 pass offense and near-zero spike rate make Robinson a high-floor, low-ceiling WR3 available roughly two rounds ahead of where the market prices him. |
| 73 | Travis Kelce | TE | KC | 110.2 | The market is 42 picks too eager on a 34-year-old TE1 whose projection already dips below his 2025 actual output. |
| 74 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | 92.6 | Tier-1 offense, 46 pass TDs last year. The projection trims that monster touchdown rate hard; still good for 300+ points anchored by elite Nacua/Adams pass-game. |
| 75 | David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 50.6 | Montgomery arrives in Houston with a 42.7% projected run share, but a tier-7 run offense and a market price roughly 17 picks ahead of our projection make this a fade. |
| 76 | Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 83.2 | Market prices Pitts as a TE2, but a bottom-tier pass offense and a projected TD rate near zero make that ADP a trap. |
| 77 | George Kittle | TE | SF | 104.4 | Kittle's 2026 projected target share drops to 13.3% as a deep receiving corps arrives, and the market is already slightly ahead of us. |
| 78 | Emeka Egbuka | WR | TB | 36.4 | Egbuka leads a tier-4 passing offense at just 22, but the market is pricing him roughly 13 picks ahead of where our model lands. |
| 79 | Michael Wilson | WR | ARI | 90.8 | Arizona's WR1 in a tier-2 pass offense, but a bottom-19th-percentile separator on a tier-7 QB with zero spike-week history is a tough sell at ADP 90. |
| 80 | Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 104.4 | Addison projects nearly the same 2025 output in a tier-7 pass offense with a murky QB room, making him a WR4 priced like a WR3. |
| 81 | Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 121.0 | Goedert's 175-point 2025 finish is unlikely to repeat; a thinner target tree and tier-4 pass offense project him at 126 points with the market already pricing him 35 picks too early. |
| 82 | Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 38.0 | Loveland profiles as a TE1 by efficiency metrics but the market is pricing him roughly two rounds ahead of where we sit, making him an overpay at his current ADP. |
| 83 | Travis Etienne | RB | NO | 35.8 | The market has Etienne going roughly 20 picks ahead of where the model lands him, and a collapsed run offense tier tells you why. |
| 84 | Romeo Doubs | WR | NE | 123.0 | A.J. Brown's arrival as the alpha WR1 frees Doubs into a tier-1 passing offense at roughly 30 picks of ADP value, but the separation concerns are real. |
| 85 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | WAS | 124.2 | A 22-year-old with a 95th-percentile rush yards over expected mark and nearly 40% projected run share, available roughly four rounds below his projection value. |
| 86 | Jadarian Price | RB | SEA | 63.6 | A first-round rookie stepping into a vacated workhorse backfield, but the model sees only a 20.3% run share and a razor-thin TD projection. |
| 87 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 103.2 | Goff has led a tier-1 passing offense three straight years and projects 576 attempts in 2026, yet the market prices him roughly two rounds too high for a non-rushing QB13. |
| 88 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | 50.4 | The market is nearly 30 picks ahead of where we sit on Moore, and a 20.1% projected target share in a crowded Buffalo tree explains the gap. |
| 89 | Mark Andrews | TE | BAL | 123.4 | The market is roughly two rounds ahead of where we sit on Andrews, and a tier-4 pass offense in 2026 explains most of that gap. |
| 90 | Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | NE | 77.6 | Stevenson's 2025 production masks a shrinking role: run share drops to 30.4% with TreVeyon Henderson above him, and the model prices him at fair ADP with real downside. |
| 91 | Oronde Gadsden II | TE | LAC | 142.2 | A 22-year-old TE2 beating the TE1 on the depth chart by projected points, available roughly 25 picks after where the model prices him. |
| 92 | Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 86.8 | LaPorta scores as a TE1 in a tier-1 passing offense, but the market is pricing him nearly 30 picks ahead of where the model lands. |
| 93 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 54.2 | Burrow's pass offense upgraded from tier-3 to tier-2, but the market has him priced roughly 40 picks ahead of where we land. |
| 94 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 106.2 | Bo Nix is a high-volume QB2 in a tier-4 pass offense whose legs and 596 projected attempts keep him near streaming value at a favorable ADP. |
| 95 | Luther Burden III | WR | CHI | 45.0 | Elite separation and elite YAC mark a 22-year-old ascending to WR2 duties in Chicago, but the market is pricing him nearly two rounds ahead of where we see him. |
| 96 | Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 93.0 | Monangai's 29.6% projected run share in a tier-2 run offense puts a floor under a 22-year-old back priced right at ADP. |
| 97 | Rico Dowdle | RB | PIT | 87.0 | A 37.3% projected run share after a 53.3% share in 2025 tells you everything about what Pittsburgh is paying for with this backfield. |
| 98 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 79.8 | Herbert projects for 283.5 fantasy points in 2026, a step back from his 306.85 actual finish, and the market is already pricing him roughly a quarter-round ahead of where we have him. |
| 99 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | TB | 91.4 | The market is roughly 35 picks ahead of where we price him, and a shrinking target share in a tier-4 pass offense makes that gap hard to bridge. |
| 100 | Jordyn Tyson | WR | NO | 76.6 | A rookie WR2 landing in a thin target tree with 100 projected targets and a best-ball score that nearly matches his ADP. |
| 101 | Carnell Tate | WR | TEN | 68.2 | A bottom-tier passing offense and a shrinking projected target share push this rookie WR well below his ADP of 67.4. |
| 102 | Bucky Irving | RB | TB | 57.0 | Irving dropped from 60.5% to 50.3% projected run share with a backfield addition and a tier-6 run offense; the market is pricing him 25 picks too high. |
| 103 | Michael Pittman | WR | PIT | 99.2 | A tier-5 pass offense, a tier-7 QB room, and a shrinking target share make Pittman's 141-point projection hard to trust near ADP. |
| 104 | Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 170.4 | Nearly 100 projected targets in a thin Houston passing tree make Schultz a quietly reliable TE1 option at a discount of roughly 30 picks. |
| 105 | Jayden Reed | WR | GB | 100.2 | Elite separation (98th percentile) and a tick-up to 17.9% target share make Reed a WR2 worth grabbing roughly a round ahead of his ADP. |
| 106 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 100.6 | Dobbins finished RB2-caliber in 2025 on a 59.3% run share, but a weakening QB situation and modest 219 projected carries cap his 2026 ceiling at 141 points. |
| 107 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 61.4 | Daniels elevated from a tier-7 QB situation to a tier-3 one in a single offseason, and his 281-point 2025 floor already projects to climb to 310 in 2026. |
| 108 | Parker Washington | WR | JAX | 74.2 | Travis Hunter's arrival compresses Washington's target share from 18.9% to a projected 15.6%, and the market hasn't fully priced in that dilution. |
| 109 | Jake Ferguson | TE | DAL | 118.4 | A tier-1 passing offense at his back, Ferguson's 15.7% projected target share in 2026 still can't justify paying 28 picks above our number. |
| 110 | Ricky Pearsall | WR | SF | 105.2 | Pearsall's target share is projected to shrink from 17.8% to 14.7% even as the QB situation jumps from tier-8 to elite, making him a crowded-roster story more than a breakout one. |
| 111 | Tony Pollard | RB | TEN | 76.4 | The market is roughly 30 picks ahead of where we sit on Pollard, and a shrinking role in a tier-8 run offense explains most of that gap. |
| 112 | Josh Downs | WR | IND | 102.8 | Downs leads the Colts target tree with a projected 20.9% share, but a tier-4 pass offense and 14.3% spike rate make him a volume-floor WR3 with limited upside. |
| 113 | Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 156.0 | Jennings projects as a WR3 roughly 50 picks ahead of his ADP, but a tier-7 pass offense and shrinking target share make the gap narrower than it looks. |
| 114 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 114.0 | Minnesota's pass offense dropped from tier-2 to tier-7, and Murray is essentially a low-volume game-manager projected at just 161 pass attempts. |
| 115 | Troy Franklin | WR | DEN | 226.0 | Waddle's arrival in Denver shrinks Franklin's target share to a projected 15%, but the market is pricing him nearly two rounds too cheap. |
| 116 | Juwan Johnson | TE | NO | 145.0 | Johnson finished as a TE1 in 2025 but the model sees a target-share dip and a tier-6 pass offense working against a repeat. |
| 117 | Jordan Mason | RB | MIN | 118.6 | Mason projects a 50.5% run share in Minnesota's tepid run offense, with a 65-point floor that makes him more handcuff than standalone RB2. |
| 118 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 68.8 | Williams scored 317 points in year two but the model sees a step back in 2026, and the market is pricing him 12 picks ahead of where we land. |
| 119 | Travis Hunter | WR | JAX | 173.8 | Hunter's 81st-percentile separation and a roughly 78-pick ADP gap make him one of the clearest late-round values at the WR position. |
| 120 | Rachaad White | RB | WAS | 108.0 | White lands in Washington with a tier-2 run offense but projects just 26.5% run share and a 57.9 floor, making him a thin bet at near-ADP price. |
| 121 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | JAX | 136.2 | A 47.8% projected run share doubles his 2025 workload, but a tier-4 run offense and a 53-point floor make this a ceiling-chaser's bet. |
| 122 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 76.0 | The market prices Hubbard nearly two rounds too early: a projected 50.3% run share in a tier-7 run offense with a 34.8 floor is a bad combination at ADP 73.2. |
| 123 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 148.2 | Jones finished as a QB1 in 2025 but projects to slide back in 2026, and a tier-4 pass offense with limited weapons makes the regression case easy to build. |
| 124 | Xavier Worthy | WR | KC | 109.6 | Elite separation but a tier-4 passing offense and 16% target share keep Worthy capped as a WR4 priced like a WR3. |
| 125 | RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 82.8 | Harvey's 2025 workload (33.5% run share, 185 fantasy points) gets cut nearly in half by a crowded backfield projection, and the efficiency numbers don't justify the faith. |
| 126 | Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 154.2 | A bottom-tier Jets offense, a shrinking projected target share, and near-zero TD rate make Sadiq a TE24 who costs like a TE16. |
| 127 | Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 176.6 | A tier-6 passing offense with a rookie QB makes Jeudy's 94-target projection feel generous, but the market is still pricing him 47 picks too low. |
| 128 | Jonathan Brooks | RB | CAR | 103.8 | A 37.8% projected run share in a bottom-tier offense makes Brooks a volume bet with a razor-thin margin for error. |
| 129 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | 113.0 | Target share dropping from 15.2% to 12.4% with D.J. Moore now in the building makes Kincaid a TE10 you're buying at a TE8 price. |
| 130 | Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 163.4 | Tucker sits at the 88th percentile in separation but lands in a tier-7 passing offense with Kirk Cousins, making the 33-pick ADP gap the real story. |
| 131 | Brenton Strange | TE | JAX | 145.0 | Strange projects as a TE14 at virtually exact ADP, making him a hold-steady pick with a shrinking target share and almost no spike-week upside. |
| 132 | Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 149.8 | A tier-1 passing offense with a crowded target tree and a shrinking 13.7% projected share makes Henry a market-price TE2 with limited upside. |
| 133 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 117.6 | Love projects nearly identical to his 2025 actual at QB20, but a slipping QB situation tier and a 12.5% spike rate make him a streaming option, not a roster anchor. |
| 134 | Cade Otton | TE | TB | 189.4 | Buccaneers TE at 18% target share. Tier-5 pass-O with Mayfield. Within-team rank #1; .13 spike — streaming TE2 with TD-dependent ceiling. |
| 135 | Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 120.0 | Golden's target share jumps from 11.6% to 16.3% in year two, but a tier-4 QB situation keeps the ceiling honest at 160. |
| 136 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | 198.0 | A tier-5 pass offense and a shrinking 12.1% target share make Freiermuth a TE2 floor play with almost no ceiling to speak of. |
| 137 | Kimani Vidal | RB | LAC | 207.4 | Vidal's 43% run share in 2025 collapses to a projected 28.5% behind Omarion Hampton, making him a speculative handcuff priced 107 picks too cheap to ignore. |
| 138 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | 98.8 | Corum projects for 34.6% run share in a tier-3 run offense with a 0% career spike rate, making him a high-floor handcuff priced almost exactly at his value. |
| 139 | Chig Okonkwo | TE | WAS | 140.2 | A tier-5 passing offense, near-zero TD projection, and 35 picks of ADP premium make Okonkwo a TE20 you should avoid at his current price. |
| 140 | Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 182.8 | Elite separation (94th percentile) in a tier-6 passing offense creates a frustrating puzzle: the route-running is real, but the supporting cast is not. |
| 141 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | NYG | 130.8 | Tracy's 2025 role collapses from 40.8% run share to a projected 28.6% in 2026, making him a backup bet in a backfield that just added Cam Skattebo. |
| 142 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 118.2 | Mayfield's passing offense upgraded from tier-5 to tier-4, but a 33% spike rate and negative ADP value make him a fade at current price. |
| 143 | T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 160.2 | NA |
| 144 | Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 121.6 | A 33% projected run share and a tier-6 QB situation make Jones a depth stash at best, even coming off a 151-point 2025 season. |
| 145 | Rashid Shaheed | WR | SEA | 137.8 | A tier-3 pass offense upgrade masks a shrinking 15.4% target share and a TD projection near zero, making Shaheed a ceiling-chaser with a shaky floor. |
| 146 | Jayden Higgins | WR | HOU | 130.8 | A 22-year-old rookie-year WR2 in Houston projects 77 targets in a tier-4 pass offense, with the market already pricing him 13 picks ahead of our number. |
| 147 | Cooper Kupp | WR | SEA | 220.8 | Kupp costs roughly three rounds less than his projected output suggests, but a tier-5 QB situation and a 0.052 projected TD rate make that discount earned. |
| 148 | Jalen Coker | WR | CAR | 134.6 | The market is about 30 picks too early on a WR3 in a tier-7 passing offense with a 0.049 projected touchdown rate. |
| 149 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | 245.6 | DJ Moore's arrival shrinks Coleman's target share from 17.7% to a projected 15.0%, but the market has him buried roughly seven rounds below where the model values him. |
| 150 | Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 92.2 | The market is nearly 60 picks high on a rookie stepping into a target tree that still runs through DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. |
| 151 | KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 126.0 | A tier-6 passing offense and a shrinking 14.5% projected target share make Concepcion a tough sell despite the first-round pedigree. |
| 152 | Omar Cooper Jr. | WR | NYJ | 156.8 | A rookie WR4 in a tier-8 passing offense, Cooper Jr. projects for just 52 targets and a 10.8% target share while the market prices him 33 picks too high. |
| 153 | Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 178.6 | A tier-1 passing offense's WR3 with elite separation and YAC numbers, available roughly two rounds later than his projection suggests he should go. |
| 154 | Trey Benson | RB | ARI | 354.5 | Benson runs in the 92nd percentile for rush yards over expected but projects to just 30.2% run share in a bottom-tier offense, making him a late-round dart with real upside if Jeremiyah Love's rookie workload disappoints. |
| 155 | AJ Barner | TE | SEA | 183.0 | Barner's 87th-percentile separation keeps him relevant, but a shrinking target share and a tier-5 QB situation make him a speculative TE2 at best. |
| 156 | Colby Parkinson | TE | LAR | 222.6 | NA |
| 157 | Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 264.0 | The market is nearly 100 picks too low on a WR2 projecting 68 targets in a Lamar Jackson offense, but the efficiency numbers make this a ceiling play, not a floor one. |
| 158 | Devaughn Vele | WR | NO | 266.0 | A 78th-percentile EPA receiver going at pick 277 in a target tree that just added a high-upside rookie opposite Chris Olave. |
| 159 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | JAX | 57.6 | Tuten's run share nearly doubles to 32.4% in 2026, but a tier-4 run offense and 3.75 projected YPC cap how much that opportunity is worth. |
| 160 | Evan Engram | TE | DEN | 241.8 | NA |
| 161 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 138.4 | Darnold projects as a QB18 in a tier-3 passing offense, but his ADP sits nearly 30 picks later than his projected value, making him a useful late-round streamer target. |
| 162 | Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 250.6 | A 77th-percentile EPA receiver hiding behind a 17th-percentile target share, Noel is roughly 83 picks cheaper than his projection suggests he should cost. |
| 163 | Ty Johnson | RB | BUF | 265.6 | A best-ball dart worth taking 150 picks before his ADP, Ty Johnson profiles as pure upside insurance behind James Cook in a tier-1 run offense. |
| 164 | David Njoku | TE | LAC | 197.0 | NA |
| 165 | Michael Mayer | TE | LV | 278.4 | NA |
| 166 | Andrei Iosivas | WR | CIN | 297.3 | Iosivas sits roughly six rounds cheaper than his projection suggests, but a 9.8% target share on a crowded depth chart keeps the floor razor-thin. |
| 167 | Greg Dulcich | TE | MIA | 181.2 | NA |
| 168 | Elic Ayomanor | WR | TEN | 297.3 | Ayomanor costs almost nothing at ADP 299 but projects nearly identical points to his 2025 output, making him a legitimate late-round dart in a thin Tennessee receiver room. |
| 169 | Kendrick Bourne | WR | ARI | 303.0 | An ADP of 318 makes Bourne a near-free dart on a tier-2 pass offense, with a ceiling nearly 50 points above his price tag. |
| 170 | Woody Marks | RB | HOU | 141.6 | Montgomery's arrival slices Marks' projected run share from 44.6% to 22.3%, turning a borderline starter into a handcuff with ceiling upside. |
| 171 | Pat Bryant | WR | DEN | 258.2 | A 22-year-old WR4 in a tier-4 pass offense, Bryant's 100-point ADP gap makes him one of the clearest late-round values on the board. |
| 172 | Dylan Sampson | RB | CLE | 162.2 | A 22-year-old sharing a bottom-tier run offense with Quinshon Judkins, Sampson projects just 15.6% run share and a 3.04 YPC in 2026. |
| 173 | Adonai Mitchell | WR | NYJ | 182.8 | A 23-year-old WR2 in a tier-8 passing offense with a shrinking target share, near-zero spike rate, and negative VORP; the market is already pricing him fairly. |
| 174 | Jaylen Wright | RB | MIA | 231.6 | Nearly 90 picks of ADP value on a 23-year-old handcuff whose 14.2% projected run share still beats the alternatives in a thin Miami backfield. |
| 175 | Zach Charbonnet | RB | SEA | 149.0 | Charbonnet projects for a 45% run share in Seattle's tier-3 run offense, but the market is pricing him roughly 90 picks too low. |
| 176 | Jake Tonges | TE | SF | 233.0 | NA |
| 177 | Cole Kmet | TE | CHI | 312.0 | NA |
| 178 | Isiah Pacheco | RB | DET | 145.8 | Pacheco lands in Detroit as the clear RB2 behind Gibbs, but a projected 21.8% run share and 0% career spike rate make the ADP a trap. |
| 179 | Jalen Tolbert | WR | MIA | 291.0 | Dolphins WR3 at 11% target share. Tier-1 (projected) pass-O with Tua. Within-team rank #3 — Hill/Waddle dominance limits weekly path. |
| 180 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | PHI | 214.2 | NA |
| 181 | Darius Slayton | WR | NYG | 308.7 | NA |
| 182 | Josh Palmer | WR | BUF | 329.5 | Bills WR4 at 8% target share. Tier-2 pass-O with Allen. Within-team rank #4 — elite QB context but Shakir/Coleman/Cooper above limit path. |
| 183 | Alvin Kamara | RB | NO | 167.8 | A projected 28.9% run share and 47 targets in a tier-8 offense makes Kamara a volume story that barely holds together at age 30. |
| 184 | Kayshon Boutte | WR | NE | 206.0 | Patriots WR4 at 8% target share. Tier-1 (projected) pass-O with Maye. Within-team rank #4 — elite young-QB context but room is crowded above him. |
| 185 | Xavier Legette | WR | CAR | 346.0 | A tier-7 passing offense, a 0.0% spike rate, and a projected TD rate near zero make Legette a deep-league dart worth taking roughly four rounds ahead of ADP. |
| 186 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | 353.5 | NA |
| 187 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 151.2 | Allgeier lands in Arizona with a 22.9% projected run share behind Jeremiyah Love, and the math doesn't justify his current ADP. |
| 188 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 140.4 | Stroud's 2026 projection barely budges from his 253-point 2025 finish, and a tier-5 QB situation with just 420 projected attempts makes the ceiling hard to reach. |
| 189 | Tyquan Thornton | WR | KC | 260.6 | Chiefs WR4 at 8% target share. Tier-5 pass-O with Mahomes. Within-team rank #4 — depth only with Rice/Worthy/Hopkins competing for projected share. |
| 190 | De'Zhaun Stribling | WR | SF | 200.8 | A 22-year-old rookie WR in a tier-1 QB situation, Stribling projects conservatively but his 2025 target share already outpaced the projection. |
| 191 | Germie Bernard | WR | PIT | 209.4 | A rookie WR3 going roughly three rounds ahead of his ADP, Bernard offers a 157.9 ceiling in a weak passing offense where opportunity remains thin. |
| 192 | Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 161.6 | A rookie WR2 on a tier-6 passing offense with a 43-point floor and near-zero TD projection, Boston is a ceiling-or-bust dart at his ADP. |
| 193 | Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 245.8 | NA |
| 194 | Kalif Raymond | WR | CHI | 274.0 | Elite separation rate at the 95th percentile can't overcome 7.4% projected target share and a near-zero spike rate in a crowded Chicago receiver room. |
| 195 | Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | DEN | 342.5 | Broncos WR4 at 7% target share. Tier-4 pass-O with Nix. Within-team rank #4 — depth play only with no realistic path to weekly relevance. |
| 196 | Brian Robinson | RB | ATL | 167.4 | A 14% projected run share and a 5.9% spike rate make Robinson a best-ball afterthought at a price already above his value. |
| 197 | Jalen Nailor | WR | LV | 154.6 | NA |
| 198 | Isaiah Likely | TE | NYG | 113.2 | NA |
| 199 | Emari Demercado | RB | KC | 273.8 | Chiefs deep backup at 15% run share. Tier-8 run-O context; depth-only ranking with no projected path to weekly relevance behind Pacheco/Walker/Hunt. |
| 200 | Chimere Dike | WR | TEN | 274.5 | NA |
| 201 | Tommy Tremble | TE | CAR | 348.0 | NA |
| 202 | Kaelon Black | RB | SF | 229.6 | A third-round rookie with a 20% run share ceiling behind the backfield's clear alpha, but priced 26 picks below ADP with a 140-point upside. |
| 203 | Xavier Hutchinson | WR | HOU | 305.5 | A 10.9% target share and a tier-4 pass offense make Hutchinson a low-floor, low-ceiling dart throw who costs almost nothing at ADP 314. |
| 204 | Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | ATL | 356.5 | A tier-7 passing offense, shrinking target share, and near-zero TD projection make Zaccheaus a dart throw worth taking 150 picks early. |
| 205 | Tre Harris | WR | LAC | 176.6 | Elite YAC ability (96th percentile) on a crowded depth chart; Harris projects just 49 targets in a tier-4 passing offense, making upside contingent on role expansion. |
| 206 | Calvin Ridley | WR | TEN | 186.2 | Titans WR3 at 11% target share. Tier-8 pass-O. ADP at 57 is heavily ahead — model fades hard on the situation and within-team rank #3. |
| 207 | Tyjae Spears | RB | TEN | 154.0 | The market is about 40 picks too high on a back whose role is shrinking on one of the league's worst offenses. |
| 208 | Christian Kirk | WR | SF | 215.8 | NA |
| 209 | Darnell Washington | TE | PIT | 280.3 | NA |
| 210 | Mack Hollins | WR | NE | 338.5 | NA |
| 211 | Tez Johnson | WR | TB | 336.0 | Elite separation in a tier-4 pass offense keeps Johnson buried at WR78, but his ADP sits roughly 165 picks later than our projection. |
| 212 | Mason Taylor | TE | NYJ | 277.0 | NA |
| 213 | Marquise Brown | WR | PHI | NA | |
| 214 | Jack Bech | WR | LV | 278.8 | NA |
| 215 | Gunnar Helm | TE | TEN | 185.4 | NA |
| 216 | Emanuel Wilson | RB | SEA | 213.2 | A 25% run share in a tier-3 run offense sounds fine until you realize two rookies and a proven starter are all ahead of him on the depth chart. |
| 217 | Noah Gray | TE | KC | 350.0 | NA |
| 218 | Samaje Perine | RB | CIN | 255.8 | Bengals deep backup. Tier-7 run-O with Brown dominating — pure depth play with no projected weekly relevance. |
| 219 | Dawson Knox | TE | BUF | 306.7 | NA |
| 220 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 175.0 | Brissett finished QB19 in 2025 and now projects as a bottom-tier QB situation in Arizona, making him a late-round dart with a 37-pick ADP cushion. |
| 221 | Ja'Tavion Sanders | TE | CAR | 298.0 | NA |
| 222 | Luke Musgrave | TE | GB | 316.0 | NA |
| 223 | Ashton Dulin | WR | IND | 290.0 | NA |
| 224 | Theo Johnson | TE | NYG | 268.8 | Johnson is going nearly 100 picks after his ADP-implied value in a NYG offense that just upgraded from tier-6 to tier-5, making him a late-round TE1 worth targeting aggressively. |
| 225 | Konata Mumpfield | WR | LAR | 290.0 | NA |
| 226 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 169.8 | Tier-5 pass-O. Last year's 3,144 yards / 24 TDs at age-25 (proxy). Projection sees 243-point output — back end of QB1 range with Metcalf/Pickens-replacement. |
| 227 | Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | 300.8 | NA |
| 228 | DeMario Douglas | WR | NE | 311.0 | Elite separation and 93rd-percentile EPA in a tier-1 passing offense, but a shrinking 9.7% target share makes Douglas a ceiling-only dart at WR4. |
| 229 | Treylon Burks | WR | WAS | 289.0 | NA |
| 230 | Van Jefferson | WR | WAS | 375.0 | NA |
| 231 | Audric Estim<U+00E9> | RB | NO | 357.0 | NA |
| 232 | Devin Singletary | RB | NYG | 318.3 | NA |
| 233 | Dyami Brown | WR | WAS | 299.5 | Commanders WR5 at 6% target share. Tier-7 pass-O. Within-team rank #5 — depth-only with no realistic weekly path. |
| 234 | Shedeur Sanders | QB | CLE | 229.8 | NA |
| 235 | Jawhar Jordan | RB | HOU | 251.0 | Jordan is nearly 100 picks cheaper than his ADP suggests he should be, but a shrinking run share and a bottom-tier HOU run offense make this a ceiling-only bet. |
| 236 | Mitchell Tinsley | WR | CIN | 430.0 | NA |
| 237 | Darnell Mooney | WR | NYG | 213.2 | NA |
| 238 | Greg Dortch | WR | DET | 269.0 | Lions WR depth at 8% target share. Tier-2 pass-O. Within-team rank #3 — limited path with St. Brown/Williams/LaPorta above him on projected depth. |
| 239 | Sean Tucker | RB | TB | 184.6 | Buccaneers backup at 18% run share. Tier-6 run-O with Irving dominating — pure handcuff with no path to weekly relevance unless Irving misses time. |
| 240 | Isaiah Bond | WR | CLE | 315.0 | NA |
| 241 | Roman Wilson | WR | PIT | 353.0 | NA |
| 242 | Ollie Gordon II | RB | MIA | 291.3 | NA |
| 243 | Cedric Tillman | WR | CLE | 341.5 | NA |
| 244 | Caleb Douglas | WR | MIA | 275.8 | A rookie WR2 on a bottom-tier passing offense, Douglas is a deep-league flier whose 99-point ADP gap gives him real best-ball upside if Tua stays healthy. |
| 245 | Ja'Kobi Lane | WR | BAL | 282.8 | A third-round rookie WR2 in Baltimore going 107 picks after our projection thinks he should, with a 133.6 ceiling and near-zero TD expectation baked in. |
| 246 | Malachi Fields | WR | NYG | 234.2 | NA |
| 247 | Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 175.6 | A rookie WR2 in a weak passing offense, Williams offers thin volume at 52 targets but costs almost nothing at ADP 174. |
| 248 | Zachariah Branch | WR | ATL | 192.4 | A 22-year-old rookie in a tier-7 passing offense with shrinking projected target share, Branch is a deep-league flier with a 137 ceiling worth the price at ADP 193. |
| 249 | Ted Hurst | WR | TB | 242.8 | NA |
| 250 | Zavion Thomas | WR | CHI | 272.7 | A rookie with 83 picks of ADP value over projection, but a 15% spike rate and 128-point ceiling make him a cheap best-ball dart in a tier-3 Chicago passing offense. |
| 251 | Chris Bell | WR | MIA | 239.4 | NA |
| 252 | Chris Brazzell II | WR | CAR | 263.4 | NA |
| 253 | Max Klare | TE | LAR | 324.5 | NA |
| 254 | Eli Stowers | TE | PHI | 213.6 | NA |
| 255 | Nate Boerkircher | TE | JAX | 354.0 | NA |
| 256 | Marlin Klein | TE | HOU | 351.0 | NA |
| 257 | Isaac TeSlaa | WR | DET | 177.6 | Lions WR4 rookie at 6% target share. Tier-1 pass-O with Goff. Within-team rank #4 — depth-only path; high-end offense doesn't reach this far down the depth chart. |
| 258 | Jonah Coleman | RB | DEN | 157.2 | A fourth-round rookie sharing a crowded Denver backfield, Coleman's 11.9% projected run share barely justifies late-round speculation even at RB59. |
| 259 | Mike Washington Jr. | RB | LV | 193.0 | A fourth-round rookie buried behind Ashton Jeanty in a tier-8 run offense, Washington Jr. projects just 46 carries and 25 targets with a near-zero VORP. |
| 260 | KaVontae Turpin | WR | DAL | 278.5 | NA |
| 261 | Jaylin Lane | WR | WAS | 327.0 | NA |
| 262 | Tyrell Shavers | WR | BUF | 386.0 | Bills WR6 at 3% target share. Tier-2 pass-O with Allen. Within-team rank #6 — elite QB context wasted on a depth player with no realistic weekly path. |
| 263 | Elijah Higgins | TE | ARI | 369.0 | NA |
| 264 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 119.0 | The market prices Shough as a QB1 streamer, but a tier-6 pass offense and 324 projected attempts make him a hard fade at ADP 117. |
| 265 | Tank Bigsby | RB | PHI | 169.0 | Eagles backup at 14% run share. Tier-5 run-O with Barkley dominating lead — handcuff floor only with no weekly path unless Barkley misses extended time. |
| 266 | Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | 149.0 | Buccaneers WR4 at 8% target share. Tier-5 pass-O. Within-team rank #4 limits projection — pure depth play unless Evans or Godwin misses time. |
| 267 | Elijah Arroyo | TE | SEA | 306.7 | NA |
| 268 | Tyler Johnson | WR | DAL | Buccaneers rookie WR depth at 6% target share. Tier-5 pass-O. Within-team rank #5 — projection reflects no realistic path to weekly relevance. | |
| 269 | Terrance Ferguson | TE | LAR | 207.0 | NA |
| 270 | Calvin Austin III | WR | NYG | 329.0 | Giants WR4 at 8% target share. Tier-5 pass-O. Within-team rank #4 — Nabers/Slayton dominance limits Austin's role to deep-depth weekly path. |
| 271 | Raheim Sanders | RB | CLE | NA | |
| 272 | Ray Davis | RB | BUF | 199.2 | A 12.5% run-share handcuff behind James Cook in a tier-1 run offense, Davis costs almost nothing at ADP 202.8 but offers a narrow ceiling. |
| 273 | Malik Davis | RB | DAL | 276.3 | Cowboys backup at 17% run share. Tier-3 run-O with Dak. Williams dominates lead — handcuff-only with no projected weekly relevance. |
| 274 | Tanner Hudson | TE | CIN | NA | |
| 275 | Jaydon Blue | RB | DAL | 211.6 | NA |
| 276 | David Sills | WR | TB | NA | |
| 277 | Davis Allen | TE | LAR | 322.0 | NA |
| 278 | Kevin Austin Jr. | WR | NO | NA | |
| 279 | Jaret Patterson | RB | LAC | NA | |
| 280 | Isaiah Williams | WR | NYJ | 374.0 | NA |
| 281 | Noah Fant | TE | NO | 337.0 | NA |
| 282 | Brock Wright | TE | DET | NA | |
| 283 | KeAndre Lambert-Smith | WR | LAC | 338.0 | Chargers WR5 rookie at 4% target share. Tier-4 pass-O. Within-team rank #5 — pure depth, no projected weekly path even in best-case scenario. |
| 284 | Brycen Tremayne | WR | CAR | NA | |
| 285 | Brashard Smith | RB | KC | 378.0 | NA |
| 286 | Kyle Williams | WR | NE | 343.0 | Patriots WR6 at 3% target share. Tier-1 (projected) pass-O with Maye. Within-team rank #6 — pure depth, no realistic weekly path. |
| 287 | Chris Brooks | RB | GB | 266.8 | NA |
| 288 | John Metchie III | WR | CAR | 337.0 | NA |
| 289 | Scott Miller | WR | CHI | 415.0 | NA |
| 290 | Darius Cooper | WR | PHI | NA | |
| 291 | Mason Tipton | WR | NO | Saints WR5 at 5% target share. Tier-6 pass-O. Within-team rank #5 — pure depth play with no realistic path to weekly relevance. | |
| 292 | Ty Chandler | RB | NO | NA | |
| 293 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 157.0 | NA |
| 294 | Casey Washington | WR | ATL | NA | |
| 295 | Eli Raridon | TE | NE | 307.0 | NA |
| 296 | Sam Roush | TE | CHI | 316.5 | NA |
| 297 | Will Kacmarek | TE | MIA | 366.0 | NA |
| 298 | Oscar Delp | TE | NO | 321.5 | NA |
| 299 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | NYG | 380.0 | NA |
| 300 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 143.8 | NA |
| 301 | Demarcus Robinson | WR | SF | 379.0 | NA |
| 302 | Matthew Hibner | TE | BAL | 349.0 | NA |
| 303 | Jeremy Ruckert | TE | NYJ | NA | |
| 304 | Brenen Thompson | WR | LAC | 304.5 | NA |
| 305 | Elijah Sarratt | WR | BAL | 263.8 | NA |
| 306 | Reggie Virgil | WR | ARI | 359.0 | NA |
| 307 | Bryce Lance | WR | NO | 301.7 | NA |
| 308 | Kaden Wetjen | WR | PIT | NA | |
| 309 | Colbie Young | WR | CIN | 313.0 | NA |
| 310 | Skyler Bell | WR | BUF | 280.3 | NA |
| 311 | Dylan Drummond | WR | ATL | NA | |
| 312 | Kylen Granson | TE | TEN | NA | |
| 313 | Tim Patrick | WR | NYJ | 401.0 | NA |
| 314 | Xavier Smith | WR | LAR | Rams WR3 at minimal projected share. Tier-1 pass-O with Stafford. Within-team rank #3 — strong offense but Nacua/Adams eat virtually all of the share. | |
| 315 | James Conner | RB | ARI | 224.8 | Cardinals veteran returning from injury at minimal projected share. Tier-8 run-O. Age-30 plus injury history — handcuff floor only with no clear lead path. |
| 316 | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR | DAL | NA | |
| 317 | Devin Neal | RB | NO | 328.7 | NA |
| 318 | Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR | DEN | NA | |
| 319 | Isaiah Hodgins | WR | NYG | NA | |
| 320 | Jalin Hyatt | WR | NYG | NA | |
| 321 | Fernando Mendoza | QB | LV | 174.2 | NA |
| 322 | Theo Wease Jr. | WR | MIA | NA | |
| 323 | Eli Heidenreich | RB | PIT | 295.7 | NA |
| 324 | Demond Claiborne | RB | MIN | 221.2 | NA |
| 325 | Jam Miller | RB | NE | 281.0 | NA |
| 326 | Seth McGowan | RB | IND | 332.0 | NA |
| 327 | Nicholas Singleton | RB | TEN | 192.0 | NA |
| 328 | Adam Randall | RB | BAL | 277.3 | A fifth-round rookie tucked behind Derrick Henry in a tier-1 run offense, Randall is a late-round dart with a 143.5 ceiling worth chasing at pick 281. |
| 329 | Kaytron Allen | RB | WAS | 193.0 | NA |
| 330 | Emmett Johnson | RB | KC | 183.0 | NA |
| 331 | Albert Okwuegbunam | TE | LV | NA | |
| 332 | DJ Giddens | RB | IND | 278.8 | NA |
| 333 | Emmanuel Henderson Jr. | WR | SEA | NA | |
| 334 | Deion Burks | WR | IND | 352.0 | NA |
| 335 | Kevin Coleman Jr. | WR | MIA | 290.0 | NA |
| 336 | Barion Brown | WR | NO | 383.0 | NA |
| 337 | Lewis Bond | WR | HOU | 417.0 | NA |
| 338 | CJ Daniels | WR | LAR | 335.0 | NA |
| 339 | Kendrick Law | WR | DET | NA | |
| 340 | Cyrus Allen | WR | KC | 289.0 | NA |
| 341 | CJ Williams | WR | JAX | NA | |
| 342 | Josh Cameron | WR | JAX | 365.0 | NA |
| 343 | Malik Benson | WR | LV | 282.5 | NA |
| 344 | Anthony Smith | WR | DAL | NA | |
| 345 | Stone Smartt | TE | PHI | 407.0 | NA |
| 346 | Jack Endries | TE | CIN | 368.0 | NA |
| 347 | Josh Cuevas | TE | BAL | NA | |
| 348 | Tanner Koziol | TE | JAX | 314.0 | NA |
| 349 | Bauer Sharp | TE | TB | NA | |
| 350 | Justin Joly | TE | DEN | 304.0 | NA |
| 351 | Dallen Bentley | TE | DEN | 428.0 | NA |
| 352 | Seydou Traore | TE | MIA | NA | |
| 353 | Riley Nowakowski | TE | PIT | NA | |
| 354 | Joe Royer | TE | CLE | 367.0 | NA |
| 355 | Carsen Ryan | TE | CLE | NA | |
| 356 | Jaren Kanak | TE | TEN | NA | |
| 357 | Max Bredeson | TE | MIN | NA | |
| 358 | Terrell Jennings | RB | NE | Patriots deep backup at 14% run share. Tier-1 (projected) offense doesn't help when role is minimal — depth-only ranking based on roster math. | |
| 359 | Kendre Miller | RB | NO | 310.0 | NA |
| 360 | Braxton Berrios | WR | NYG | NA | |
| 361 | Shane Zylstra | TE | BUF | NA | |
| 362 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 227.6 | NA |
| 363 | Xavier Restrepo | WR | TEN | NA | |
| 364 | Harrison Bryant | TE | SEA | NA | |
| 365 | George Holani | RB | SEA | 222.2 | NA |
| 366 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 181.8 | NA |
| 367 | Quinn Ewers | QB | MIA | 343.0 | NA |
| 368 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 235.4 | NA |
| 369 | Ty Simpson | QB | LAR | 340.0 | NA |
| 370 | Justin Fields | QB | KC | 281.8 | Fields enters 2026 as a near-200-pick ADP bargain with legitimate QB1 weeks in a KC offense finally climbing out of the tier-8 basement. |
| 371 | Carson Beck | QB | ARI | 280.8 | NA |
| 372 | Drew Allar | QB | PIT | 387.0 | NA |
| 373 | Joe Flacco | QB | CIN | 361.5 | NA |
| 374 | Mac Jones | QB | SF | 333.5 | NA |
| 375 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 198.2 | NA |
| 376 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | GB | 332.5 | NA |
| 377 | J.J. McCarthy | QB | MIN | 306.0 | NA |
| 378 | Marcus Mariota | QB | WAS | 374.5 | NA |
| 379 | Jake Browning | QB | TB | 294.0 | NA |
| 380 | Tyler Huntley | QB | BAL | 336.0 | NA |
| 381 | Spencer Rattler | QB | NO | 342.0 | NA |
| 382 | Cade Klubnik | QB | NYJ | 304.0 | NA |
| 383 | Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | NA | |
| 384 | Trey Lance | QB | LAC | 287.0 | NA |
| 385 | Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 360.5 | NA |
| 386 | Riley Leonard | QB | IND | 263.0 | NA |
| 387 | Mason Rudolph | QB | PIT | NA | |
| 388 | Dillon Gabriel | QB | CLE | NA | |
| 389 | Josh Johnson | QB | CIN | NA | |
| 390 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 324.0 | NA |
| 391 | Chris Oladokun | QB | KC | NA | |
| 392 | Brady Cook | QB | NYJ | NA | |
| 393 | Max Brosmer | QB | MIN | NA | |
| 394 | Cole Payton | QB | PHI | NA | |
| 395 | Taylen Green | QB | CLE | 333.0 | NA |
| 396 | Athan Kaliakmanis | QB | WAS | NA | |
| 397 | Behren Morton | QB | NE | NA | |
| 398 | Garrett Nussmeier | QB | KC | NA | |
| 399 | Kenny Pickett | QB | CAR | 265.0 | NA |
Our top QBs for 2026 best ball drafts: Josh Allen (BUF), Drake Maye (NE), Brock Purdy (SF), Jalen Hurts (PHI), Jaxson Dart (NYG). Full QB board with ADP and outlook in the table above.
Our top RBs for 2026 best ball drafts: Jahmyr Gibbs (DET), De'Von Achane (MIA), Christian McCaffrey (SF), Jonathan Taylor (IND), Bijan Robinson (ATL). Full RB board with ADP and outlook in the table above.
Our top WRs for 2026 best ball drafts: Puka Nacua (LAR), Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET), Ja'Marr Chase (CIN), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA), CeeDee Lamb (DAL). Full WR board with ADP and outlook in the table above.
Our top TEs for 2026 best ball drafts: Trey McBride (ARI), Brock Bowers (LV), Tucker Kraft (GB), Tyler Warren (IND), Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE). Full TE board with ADP and outlook in the table above.