Betting
This week's plays.
Every NFL and college game this week where something we have tested fires: the angle plays, the player trends, our number against the market, and the college leans. One page, both leagues, matched to the games on the board.
NFL plays
A play is an angle with a prior record: our model's lean plus up to three situations, 60% or better on 20 or more prior bets, each season scored knowing only the seasons before it. Flat units. The frozen pre-registered rules ride alongside; the ones marked TEST are there to settle a question in public, not to bet.
Player trends
Situational splits that are true of this week's game and true of the player. "As a favorite" only shows when he is one this week. Each line carries the same player's rate in every other spot, so a 10-for-10 that is also 10-for-23 everywhere else reads as what it is.