Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 12:00 PM ET
App State at 
East Carolina
East Carolina -8.2At East Carolina · Sun Belt · American Athletic
Total 56.5
Total 56.5
The read
East Carolina is favored by 8.2 at home against App State, and the total is 56.5. Our number has East Carolina by 11.7, so the lean is East Carolina -8.2. A lean, not a play. App State is 9-7 against the spread as an underdog since 2022, better than the 9-23 they are everywhere else.
Spread
East Carolina -8.2App State +8.2
Total
56.5Over and under
Moneyline
East Carolina -337.5App State +267.5
Our number vs the market
The lean
East Carolina -8.2A lean, not a play
Our number
East Carolina by 11.7Market has East Carolina -8.2
Gap
3.5 ptsBetween our number and the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot
App StateApp State is 9-7 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
9 of 16, 56% in this spot
9 of 32, 28% in every other spot
App State is 7-14 against the spread on the road since 2022.
7 of 21, 33% in this spot
11 of 27, 41% in every other spot
East CarolinaEast Carolina is 13-12 against the spread at home since 2022.
13 of 25, 52% in this spot
16 of 25, 64% in every other spot
East Carolina is 15-12 against the spread as a favorite since 2022.
15 of 27, 56% in this spot
14 of 23, 61% in every other spot
Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.