Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Arizona State at 
Texas A&M
Texas A&M -14At Texas A&M · Big 12 · SEC
Total 51.5
Total 51.5
The read
Texas A&M is favored by 14 at home against Arizona State, and the total is 51.5. Our number has Texas A&M by 19.3, so the lean is Texas A&M -14. A lean, not a play. Texas A&M is 4-13 against the spread as a favorite of 14 or more since 2022, worse than the 13-19 they are everywhere else.
Spread
Texas A&M -14Arizona State +14
Total
51.5Over and under
Moneyline
Texas A&M -625Arizona State +445
Our number vs the market
The lean
Texas A&M -14A lean, not a play
Our number
Texas A&M by 19.3Market has Texas A&M -14
Gap
5.3 ptsBetween our number and the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot
Arizona StateArizona State is 13-8 against the spread on the road since 2022.
13 of 21, 62% in this spot
15 of 28, 54% in every other spot
Arizona State is 18-14 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
18 of 32, 56% in this spot
10 of 17, 59% in every other spot
Texas A&MTexas A&M is 4-13 against the spread as a favorite of 14 or more since 2022.
4 of 17, 24% in this spot
13 of 32, 41% in every other spot
Texas A&M is 14-25 against the spread as a favorite since 2022.
14 of 39, 36% in this spot
3 of 10, 30% in every other spot
Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.