Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 10:15 PM ET
Arkansas at 
Utah
Utah -12.8At Utah · SEC · Big 12
Total 56.8
Total 56.8
The read
Utah is favored by 12.8 at home against Arkansas, and the total is 56.8. Our number has Utah by 18.2, so the lean is Utah -12.8. A lean, not a play. Arkansas is 11-6 against the spread on the road since 2022, better than the 13-20 they are everywhere else.
Spread
Utah -12.8Arkansas +12.8
Total
56.8Over and under
Moneyline
Utah -512.5Arkansas +377.5
Our number vs the market
The lean
Utah -12.8A lean, not a play
Our number
Utah by 18.2Market has Utah -12.8
Gap
5.4 ptsBetween our number and the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot
ArkansasArkansas is 11-6 against the spread on the road since 2022.
11 of 17, 65% in this spot
13 of 33, 39% in every other spot
Arkansas is 15-12 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
15 of 27, 56% in this spot
9 of 23, 39% in every other spot
UtahUtah is 16-9 against the spread at home since 2022.
16 of 25, 64% in this spot
12 of 25, 48% in every other spot
Utah is 6-3 against the spread with more rest than the opponent since 2022.
6 of 9, 67% in this spot
22 of 41, 54% in every other spot
Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.