Eastern Michigan at 
Michigan State
Total 50.8
Michigan State is favored by 17.2 at home against Eastern Michigan, and the total is 50.8. Our number has Michigan State by 10.5, so the lean is Eastern Michigan +17.2. A lean, not a play. Michigan State is 8-18 against the spread at home since 2022, worse than the 14-7 they are everywhere else.
Our number vs the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot
Eastern MichiganMichigan StateAgainst the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.
Player trends that apply to this game
Cam EdwardsRB has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through 2025; this season joins the file as it is played.