Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 6:00 PM ET
Jacksonville State at
Ohio
Ohio -2.2At Ohio · Conference USA · Mid-American
Total 51.5
The read
Ohio is favored by 2.2 at home against Jacksonville State, and the total is 51.5. Our number has Jacksonville State by 4, so the lean is Jacksonville State +2.2. A lean, not a play. Jacksonville State is 8-11 against the spread on the road since 2022, worse than the 16-7 they are everywhere else.
Spread
Ohio -2.2Jacksonville State +2.2
Moneyline
Ohio -127.5Jacksonville State +107.5
Our number vs the market
The lean
Jacksonville State +2.2A lean, not a play
Our number
Jacksonville State by 4Market has Jacksonville State +2.2
Gap
6.2 ptsBetween our number and the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot

Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State is 8-11 against the spread on the road since 2022.
8 of 19, 42% in this spot
16 of 23, 70% in every other spot
Jacksonville State is 11-8 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
11 of 19, 58% in this spot
13 of 23, 57% in every other spot

Ohio
Ohio is 17-7 against the spread at home since 2022.
17 of 24, 71% in this spot
15 of 29, 52% in every other spot
Ohio is 16-14 against the spread as a favorite since 2022.
16 of 30, 53% in this spot
16 of 23, 70% in every other spot
Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.
Player trends that apply to this game
Sieh BanguraRB has 10 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
10 of 10, 100% in this spot · 2023-2025
9 of 15, 60% in every other spot
Parker NavarroQB has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.
8 of 10, 80% in this spot · 2024-2025
8 of 18, 44% in every other spot
The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through 2025; this season joins the file as it is played.