Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 6:00 PM ET
Memphis at 
Boise State
Boise State -7.5At Boise State · American Athletic · Pac-12
Total 55.5
Total 55.5
The read
Boise State is favored by 7.5 at home against Memphis, and the total is 55.5. Our number has Boise State by 3.3, so the lean is Memphis +7.5. A lean, not a play. Boise State is 19-7 against the spread at home since 2022, better than the 10-16 they are everywhere else.
Spread
Boise State -7.5Memphis +7.5
Total
55.5Over and under
Moneyline
Boise State -327.5Memphis +262.5
Our number vs the market
The lean
Memphis +7.5A lean, not a play
Our number
Boise State by 3.3Market has Memphis +7.5
Gap
4.2 ptsBetween our number and the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot
MemphisMemphis is 13-8 against the spread on the road since 2022.
13 of 21, 62% in this spot
13 of 29, 45% in every other spot
Memphis is 8-7 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
8 of 15, 53% in this spot
18 of 35, 51% in every other spot
Boise StateBoise State is 19-7 against the spread at home since 2022.
19 of 26, 73% in this spot
10 of 26, 38% in every other spot
Boise State is 9-3 against the spread coming off a loss since 2022.
9 of 12, 75% in this spot
20 of 40, 50% in every other spot
Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.