Middle Tennessee at 
Marshall
Total 57.2
Marshall is favored by 14 at home against Middle Tennessee, and the total is 57.2. Our number has Marshall by 10, so the lean is Middle Tennessee +14. A lean, not a play. Marshall is 16-15 against the spread as a favorite since 2022, worse than the 13-6 they are everywhere else.
Our number vs the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot
Middle TennesseeMarshallAgainst the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.
Player trends that apply to this game
Nicholas VattiatoQB has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 250+ passing yards.The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through 2025; this season joins the file as it is played.