Week 2 · Friday, September 11 · 8:00 PM ET
Missouri at 
Kansas
Missouri -6.5At Kansas · SEC · Big 12
Total 50.5
Total 50.5
The read
Missouri is favored by 6.5 on the road against Kansas, and the total is 50.5. Our number has Missouri by 2.9, so the lean is Kansas +6.5. A lean, not a play. Missouri is 6-8 against the spread with more rest than the opponent since 2022, worse than the 25-12 they are everywhere else.
Spread
Missouri -6.5Kansas +6.5
Total
50.5Over and under
Moneyline
Kansas +190Missouri -230
Our number vs the market
The lean
Kansas +6.5A lean, not a play
Our number
Missouri by 2.9Market has Kansas +6.5
Gap
3.6 ptsBetween our number and the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot
MissouriMissouri is 6-8 against the spread with more rest than the opponent since 2022.
6 of 14, 43% in this spot
25 of 37, 68% in every other spot
Missouri is 12-6 against the spread on the road since 2022.
12 of 18, 67% in this spot
19 of 33, 58% in every other spot
KansasKansas is 11-7 against the spread at home since 2022.
11 of 18, 61% in this spot
13 of 30, 43% in every other spot
Kansas is 13-11 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
13 of 24, 54% in this spot
11 of 24, 46% in every other spot
Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.