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Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · Time TBA

New Mexico State at Hawai'i

Hawai'i -9.8At Hawai'i · Conference USA · Mountain West
Total 50.5
The read

Hawai'i is favored by 9.8 at home against New Mexico State, and the total is 50.5. Hawai'i is 19-8 against the spread at home since 2022, better than the 9-13 they are everywhere else.

Spread
Hawai'i -9.8
New Mexico State +9.8
Total
50.5
Over and under
Moneyline
Hawai'i -395
New Mexico State +302.5

Our number vs the market

No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.

How each team covers in this spot

New Mexico State
New Mexico State is 14-11 against the spread on the road since 2022.
14 of 25, 56% in this spot
16 of 27, 59% in every other spot
New Mexico State is 21-15 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
21 of 36, 58% in this spot
9 of 16, 56% in every other spot
Hawai'i
Hawai'i is 19-8 against the spread at home since 2022.
19 of 27, 70% in this spot
9 of 22, 41% in every other spot
Hawai'i is 16-10 against the spread coming off a loss since 2022.
16 of 26, 62% in this spot
12 of 23, 52% in every other spot

Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.

Player trends that apply to this game

Pofele AshlockWR has 8 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.
8 of 10, 80% in this spot · 2023-2025
14 of 26, 54% in every other spot

The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through 2025; this season joins the file as it is played.