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Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 10:00 PM ET

North Dakota State at Air Force

North Dakota State -3.2At Air Force · Mountain West
Total 47.5
The read

North Dakota State is favored by 3.2 on the road against Air Force, and the total is 47.5. Air Force is 9-15 against the spread at home since 2022, worse than the 13-12 they are everywhere else.

Spread
North Dakota State -3.2
Air Force +3.2
Total
47.5
Over and under
Moneyline
Air Force +138
North Dakota State -163.5

Our number vs the market

No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.

How each team covers in this spot

North Dakota State
Nothing about this spot has moved their cover rate. That is a finding too.
Air Force
Air Force is 9-15 against the spread at home since 2022.
9 of 24, 38% in this spot
13 of 25, 52% in every other spot
Air Force is 8-9 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
8 of 17, 47% in this spot
14 of 32, 44% in every other spot

Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.