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Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 7:30 PM ET

Ohio State at Texas

Texas -1.2At Texas · Big Ten · SEC
Total 48.2
The read

Texas is favored by 1.2 at home against Ohio State, and the total is 48.2. Texas is 16-11 against the spread at home since 2022, better than the 12-17 they are everywhere else.

Spread
Texas -1.2
Ohio State +1.2
Total
48.2
Over and under
Moneyline
Texas -112.5
Ohio State -107.5

Our number vs the market

No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.

How each team covers in this spot

Ohio State
Ohio State is 8-8 against the spread on the road since 2022.
8 of 16, 50% in this spot
24 of 37, 65% in every other spot
Texas
Texas is 16-11 against the spread at home since 2022.
16 of 27, 59% in this spot
12 of 29, 41% in every other spot

Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.

Player trends that apply to this game

Hollywood SmothersRB has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
8 of 10, 80% in this spot · 2024-2026
5 of 11, 46% in every other spot

The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through 2025; this season joins the file as it is played.