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Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 12:00 PM ET

Old Dominion at Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech -18At Virginia Tech · Sun Belt · ACC
Total 50.8
The read

Virginia Tech is favored by 18 at home against Old Dominion, and the total is 50.8. Our number has Virginia Tech by 8.8, so the lean is Old Dominion +18. A lean, not a play. Old Dominion is 20-11 against the spread as an underdog since 2022, better than the 6-12 they are everywhere else.

Spread
Virginia Tech -18
Old Dominion +18
Total
50.8
Over and under
Moneyline
Virginia Tech -1150
Old Dominion +700

Our number vs the market

The lean
Old Dominion +18
A lean, not a play
Our number
Virginia Tech by 8.8
Market has Old Dominion +18
Gap
9.2 pts
Between our number and the market

College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.

How each team covers in this spot

Old Dominion
Old Dominion is 20-11 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
20 of 31, 65% in this spot
6 of 18, 33% in every other spot
Old Dominion is 16-8 against the spread on the road since 2022.
16 of 24, 67% in this spot
10 of 25, 40% in every other spot
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 13-14 against the spread as a favorite since 2022.
13 of 27, 48% in this spot
8 of 22, 36% in every other spot
Virginia Tech is 11-13 against the spread at home since 2022.
11 of 24, 46% in this spot
10 of 25, 40% in every other spot

Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.

Player trends that apply to this game

Bill DavisRB has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.
8 of 10, 80% in this spot · 2024-2025
6 of 13, 46% in every other spot

The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through 2025; this season joins the file as it is played.