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Week 2 · Friday, September 11 · 7:30 PM ET

Rutgers at Boston College

Boston College -3.5At Boston College · Big Ten · ACC
Total 54.5
The read

Boston College is favored by 3.5 at home against Rutgers, and the total is 54.5. Our number has Boston College by 1.1, so the lean is Rutgers +3.5. A lean, not a play. Rutgers is 8-3 against the spread with more rest than the opponent since 2022, better than the 17-19 they are everywhere else.

Spread
Boston College -3.5
Rutgers +3.5
Total
54.5
Over and under
Moneyline
Boston College -175
Rutgers +145

Our number vs the market

The lean
Rutgers +3.5
A lean, not a play
Our number
Boston College by 1.1
Market has Rutgers +3.5
Gap
2.4 pts
Between our number and the market

College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.

How each team covers in this spot

Rutgers
Rutgers is 8-3 against the spread with more rest than the opponent since 2022.
8 of 11, 73% in this spot
17 of 36, 47% in every other spot
Rutgers is 12-15 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
12 of 27, 44% in this spot
13 of 20, 65% in every other spot
Boston College
Boston College is 5-11 against the spread as a favorite since 2022.
5 of 16, 31% in this spot
18 of 34, 53% in every other spot
Boston College is 12-17 against the spread coming off a loss since 2022.
12 of 29, 41% in this spot
11 of 21, 52% in every other spot

Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.

Player trends that apply to this game

Antwan RaymondRB has 9 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.
9 of 10, 90% in this spot · 2024-2025
5 of 10, 50% in every other spot

The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through 2025; this season joins the file as it is played.