New: Be A GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it.
Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 10:30 PM ET

Sacramento State at Fresno State

Fresno State -18.2At Fresno State · Mid-American · Pac-12
Total 45.5
The read

Fresno State is favored by 18.2 at home against Sacramento State, and the total is 45.5. Fresno State is 6-11 against the spread coming off a loss since 2022, worse than the 19-16 they are everywhere else.

Spread
Fresno State -18.2
Sacramento State +18.2
Total
45.5
Over and under
Moneyline
Fresno State -1025
Sacramento State +637.5

Our number vs the market

No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.

How each team covers in this spot

Sacramento State
Nothing about this spot has moved their cover rate. That is a finding too.
Fresno State
Fresno State is 6-11 against the spread coming off a loss since 2022.
6 of 17, 35% in this spot
19 of 35, 54% in every other spot
Fresno State is 11-13 against the spread at home since 2022.
11 of 24, 46% in this spot
14 of 28, 50% in every other spot

Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.