Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 3:30 PM ET
UCF at 
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh -7.5At Pittsburgh · Big 12 · ACC
Total 57.2
Total 57.2
The read
Pittsburgh is favored by 7.5 at home against UCF, and the total is 57.2. Our number has Pittsburgh by 13, so the lean is Pittsburgh -7.5. A lean, not a play. Pittsburgh is 17-13 against the spread as a favorite since 2022, better than the 8-13 they are everywhere else.
Spread
Pittsburgh -7.5UCF +7.5
Total
57.2Over and under
Moneyline
Pittsburgh -299UCF +245
Our number vs the market
The lean
Pittsburgh -7.5A lean, not a play
Our number
Pittsburgh by 13Market has Pittsburgh -7.5
Gap
5.5 ptsBetween our number and the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot
UCFUCF is 8-14 against the spread on the road since 2022.
8 of 22, 36% in this spot
13 of 29, 45% in every other spot
UCF is 6-10 against the spread with more rest than the opponent since 2022.
6 of 16, 38% in this spot
15 of 35, 43% in every other spot
PittsburghPittsburgh is 17-13 against the spread as a favorite since 2022.
17 of 30, 57% in this spot
8 of 21, 38% in every other spot
Pittsburgh is 15-12 against the spread at home since 2022.
15 of 27, 56% in this spot
10 of 24, 42% in every other spot
Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.