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Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 3:45 PM ET

UNLV at North Texas

UNLV -4.2At North Texas · Mountain West · American Athletic
Total 57.2
The read

UNLV is favored by 4.2 on the road against North Texas, and the total is 57.2. Our number has North Texas by 3.2, so the lean is North Texas +4.2. A lean, not a play. UNLV is 17-7 against the spread on the road since 2022, better than the 15-15 they are everywhere else.

Spread
UNLV -4.2
North Texas +4.2
Total
57.2
Over and under
Moneyline
North Texas +157
UNLV -185

Our number vs the market

The lean
North Texas +4.2
A lean, not a play
Our number
North Texas by 3.2
Market has North Texas +4.2
Gap
7.4 pts
Between our number and the market

College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.

How each team covers in this spot

UNLV
UNLV is 17-7 against the spread on the road since 2022.
17 of 24, 71% in this spot
15 of 30, 50% in every other spot
UNLV is 20-14 against the spread as a favorite since 2022.
20 of 34, 59% in this spot
12 of 20, 60% in every other spot
North Texas
North Texas is 10-11 against the spread coming off a loss since 2022.
10 of 21, 48% in this spot
20 of 32, 62% in every other spot
North Texas is 12-11 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
12 of 23, 52% in this spot
18 of 30, 60% in every other spot

Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.

Player trends that apply to this game

Jai'Den ThomasRB has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
8 of 10, 80% in this spot · 2025-2026
3 of 13, 23% in every other spot

The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through 2025; this season joins the file as it is played.

UNLV →North Texas →
Every college trend this weekCollege linesAll games this week