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Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 3:30 PM ET

UTSA at Texas State

Texas State -0.2At Texas State · American Athletic · Pac-12
Total 64.5
The read

Texas State is favored by 0.2 at home against UTSA, and the total is 64.5. UTSA is 10-14 against the spread on the road since 2022, worse than the 18-11 they are everywhere else.

Spread
Texas State -0.2
UTSA +0.2
Total
64.5
Over and under
Moneyline
Texas State -107.5
UTSA -112.5

Our number vs the market

No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.

How each team covers in this spot

UTSA
UTSA is 10-14 against the spread on the road since 2022.
10 of 24, 42% in this spot
18 of 29, 62% in every other spot
UTSA is 6-8 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
6 of 14, 43% in this spot
22 of 39, 56% in every other spot
Texas State
Texas State is 11-12 against the spread coming off a loss since 2022.
11 of 23, 48% in this spot
12 of 27, 44% in every other spot
Texas State is 15-18 against the spread as a favorite since 2022.
15 of 33, 45% in this spot
8 of 17, 47% in every other spot

Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.

Player trends that apply to this game

Lincoln PareRB has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 75+ rushing yards.
8 of 10, 80% in this spot · 2024-2025
3 of 12, 25% in every other spot

The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through 2025; this season joins the file as it is played.