Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Wake Forest at 
Purdue
Wake Forest -4At Purdue · ACC · Big Ten
Total 50.2
Total 50.2
The read
Wake Forest is favored by 4 on the road against Purdue, and the total is 50.2. Our number has Wake Forest by 8.5, so the lean is Wake Forest -4. A lean, not a play. Wake Forest is 9-5 against the spread with more rest than the opponent since 2022, better than the 15-18 they are everywhere else.
Spread
Wake Forest -4Purdue +4
Total
50.2Over and under
Moneyline
Purdue +162Wake Forest -191.5
Our number vs the market
The lean
Wake Forest -4A lean, not a play
Our number
Wake Forest by 8.5Market has Wake Forest -4
Gap
4.5 ptsBetween our number and the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot
Wake ForestWake Forest is 9-5 against the spread with more rest than the opponent since 2022.
9 of 14, 64% in this spot
15 of 33, 45% in every other spot
Wake Forest is 12-10 against the spread as a favorite since 2022.
12 of 22, 55% in this spot
12 of 25, 48% in every other spot
PurduePurdue is 7-19 against the spread at home since 2022.
7 of 26, 27% in this spot
10 of 24, 42% in every other spot
Purdue is 12-23 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.
12 of 35, 34% in this spot
5 of 15, 33% in every other spot
Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.