Duce Robinson
Florida State#113 overallDraft Movement
Down 12 spots since Jun 8
Scouting Report
Duce Robinson is one of the most tantalizing height-weight prospects in the 2027 class, a 6'6", 222-pound boundary receiver who returned to his father's alma mater after two seasons at USC. The son of former Seminole and Minnesota Twins draftee Dominic Robinson, he arrived as a five-star recruit and the nation's top-ranked tight end out of Pinnacle High in Phoenix, and was a rare dual Under Armour All-American in football and baseball, joining Kyler Murray and AJ Brown in that company. At USC he flashed game-breaking ability with 39 catches for 747 yards and 7 touchdowns at 19.2 yards per catch as a true freshman and sophomore, ranking fifth nationally at 21.1 yards per reception in 2023. He grades as a top-2 receiver in the class with a first-round projection, praised for a nearly 6'10" wingspan that creates permanent mismatches, fluid hip-sink for his size, and basketball-style box-out ability that turns 50/50 balls in the red zone into 80/20 propositions. Scouts temper that with a lack of sudden twitch (a projected 4.65 forty), a route tree heavy on verticals, and contested-catch focus lapses, noting he caught just 33 percent of targets in tight coverage. He carries a Day 3 consensus grade with a fourth-round projection and Pittsburgh as his most-mocked landing spot. Evaluators repeatedly invoke a Mike Evans or Harold Carmichael deployment blueprint as an oversized X.
Strengths
- Rare 6'6"/222 frame with a nearly 6'10" wingspan that creates permanent length mismatches
- Basketball-style box-out and high-point ability that wins 50/50 balls in the red zone
- Tracks the deep ball with baseball-outfielder body control and full-extension catches
- Surprisingly fluid hip-sink and acceleration out of breaks for his size, plays smaller than he is
- Versatile alignment out wide, in the slot, or in-line as an oversized chess piece
- Finds soft spots against zone and presents a massive target over the middle
- Plays with toughness after the catch and breaks weak arm tackles
- Productive multi-sport pedigree, 39 catches 747 yards 7 TD at 19.2 ypc across two USC seasons
Weaknesses
- Lacks sudden twitch and explosive release
- wins with size more than separation (projected 4.65 forty)
- Caught just 33 percent of targets in tight coverage, contested consistency still a question
- Route tree underdeveloped and leans heavily on verticals, curls, and slants
- Functional playing strength is thin
- physical press corners can reroute him and disrupt timing
- Occasional focus lapses, takes his eyes off routine catches when anticipating contact
- Blocking technique is rudimentary with limited desire to sustain in the run game
NFL Comparison
Mike Evans (blueprint comp, oversized boundary X who wins contested balls); Harold Carmichael (cited deployment comp, towering red-zone matchup nightmare); Tetairoa McMillan (similarity comp, big-bodied fluid mover); Malachi Fields (similarity comp, long contested-catch WR)
College Stats
USC 2023-2024: 39 rec, 747 yds, 7 TD, 19.2 ypc (5th nationally at 21.1 ypc in 2023); 2024: 23 rec, 396 yds, 5 TD. Florida State 2025: 56 rec, 1081 yds, 6 TD, 19.3 ypc.
College Market Value
Our model prices him at $2.34M on the open college market, built from production, pedigree, role and Florida State's program money. No credible deal has been reported for him this season.
The college fantasy model projects 16.7 PPG (WR6), after 14.4 PPG across 12 games last year.
Every P4 player priced, math public: College players & NIL · Roster spend
Measurables
Awards & Honors
Five-star recruit and No. 1 TE prospect (Class of 2023), top-20 overall; dual Under Armour All-American in football and baseball; graded a top-2 receiver in the 2027 class with a first-round projection; Day 3 consensus grade with a fourth-round projection across 18 mock appearances