Week 2 · Saturday, September 12 · 3:30 PM ET

Arizona at BYU

BYU -7.5At BYU · Big 12
Total 50.5

The read

BYU is favored by 7.5 at home against Arizona, and the total is 50.5. Our number has BYU by 4, so the lean is Arizona +7.5. A lean, not a play. Arizona is 18-18 against the spread in conference play since 2022, worse than the 9-5 they are everywhere else.

Spread

BYU -7.5

Arizona +7.5

Total

50.5

Over and under

Moneyline

BYU -297.5

Arizona +242.5

Our number vs the market

The lean

Arizona +7.5

A lean, not a play

Our number

BYU by 4

Market has Arizona +7.5

Gap

3.5 pts

Between our number and the market

College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.

How each team covers in this spot

Arizona

Arizona is 18-18 against the spread in conference play since 2022.

18 of 36, 50% in this spot

9 of 14, 64% in every other spot

Arizona is 14-13 against the spread as an underdog since 2022.

14 of 27, 52% in this spot

13 of 23, 57% in every other spot

BYU

BYU is 14-14 against the spread in conference play since 2022.

14 of 28, 50% in this spot

13 of 21, 62% in every other spot

BYU is 11-10 against the spread at home since 2022.

11 of 21, 52% in this spot

16 of 28, 57% in every other spot

Against the opening number, 2022 through 2025, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, and only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.

Player trends that apply to this game

LJ MartinRB has 10 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.

10 of 10, 100% in this spot · 2025-2026

8 of 15, 53% in every other spot

The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through 2025; this season joins the file as it is played.

Arizona →BYU →

Every college trend this week College lines All games this week