Week 3 · Saturday, September 19 · 8:00 PM ET
Arkansas State at 
TCU
TCU -20.2At TCU · Sun Belt · Big 12
Total 56.5
Total 56.5
The read
TCU is favored by 20.2 at home against Arkansas State, and the total is 56.5. Our number has TCU by 15.2, so the lean is Arkansas State +20.2. A lean, not a play.
Spread
TCU -20.2Arkansas State +20.2
Total
56.5Over and under
Moneyline
TCU -1375Arkansas State +775
Our number vs the market
The lean
Arkansas State +20.2A lean, not a play
Our number
TCU by 15.2Market has Arkansas State +20.2
Gap
5 ptsBetween our number and the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
Player trends that apply to this game
Chauncy CobbWR has 5 of his last 6 games on the road with 50+ receiving yards.5 of 6, 83% in this spot · 2025-2026
5 of 9, 56% in every other spot
Corey RuckerWR has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.8 of 10, 80% in this spot · 2024-2025
7 of 11, 64% in every other spot
The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through last season; this season joins the file as it is played.