Week 3 · Saturday, September 19 · 12:00 PM ET
Bowling Green at 
Iowa State
Iowa State -23.5At Iowa State · Mid-American · Big 12
Total 44.2
Total 44.2
The read
Iowa State is favored by 23.5 at home against Bowling Green, and the total is 44.2. Bowling Green has covered 7 of 9 as an underdog when our model likes them, 2023-2026, better than the 12-17 they are everywhere else.
Spread
Iowa State -23.5Bowling Green +23.5
Total
44.2Over and under
Moneyline
Iowa State -2300Bowling Green +1100
Our number vs the market
No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.
How each team covers in this spot
Bowling GreenBowling Green has covered 7 of 9 as an underdog when our model likes them, 2023-2026.
7 of 9, 78% in this spot
12 of 29, 41% in every other spot
Bowling Green has covered 6 of 8 on the road when our model likes them, 2023-2026.
6 of 8, 75% in this spot
13 of 30, 43% in every other spot
Iowa StateNothing about this spot has moved their cover rate. That is a finding too.
Against the spread and the total, the last three seasons plus this one, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot, and only where the team beats the whole league in that spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.