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Week 3 · Saturday, September 19 · 11:30 AM ET

Coastal Carolina at Delaware

Delaware -4.8At Delaware · Sun Belt · Conference USA
Total 57.5
The read

Delaware is favored by 4.8 at home against Coastal Carolina, and the total is 57.5. Our number has Delaware by 10.3, so the lean is Delaware -4.8. A lean, not a play. Coastal Carolina has gone over 6 of 8 when our model fades them, 2023-2026, better than the 14-14 they are everywhere else.

Spread
Delaware -4.8
Coastal Carolina +4.8
Total
57.5
Over and under
Moneyline
Delaware -214
Coastal Carolina +177.5

Our number vs the market

The lean
Delaware -4.8
A lean, not a play
Our number
Delaware by 10.3
Market has Delaware -4.8
Gap
5.5 pts
Between our number and the market

College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.

How each team covers in this spot

Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina has gone over 6 of 8 when our model fades them, 2023-2026.
6 of 8, 75% in this spot
14 of 28, 50% in every other spot
Delaware
Nothing about this spot has moved their cover rate. That is a finding too.

Against the spread and the total, the last three seasons plus this one, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot, and only where the team beats the whole league in that spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.