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Week 3 · Saturday, September 19 · 7:00 PM ET

Florida at Auburn

Florida -2.5At Auburn · SEC
Total 53.5
The read

Florida is favored by 2.5 on the road against Auburn, and the total is 53.5. Our number has Auburn by 3.5, so the lean is Auburn +2.5. A lean, not a play.

Spread
Florida -2.5
Auburn +2.5
Total
53.5
Over and under
Moneyline
Auburn +117.5
Florida -138.5

Our number vs the market

The lean
Auburn +2.5
A lean, not a play
Our number
Auburn by 3.5
Market has Auburn +2.5
Gap
6 pts
Between our number and the market

College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.

Player trends that apply to this game

Jadan BaughRB has 8 of his last 9 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
8 of 9, 89% in this spot · 2024-2026
10 of 17, 59% in every other spot
Bryson WashingtonRB has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.
8 of 10, 80% in this spot · 2024-2025
5 of 12, 42% in every other spot
London MontgomeryRB has 5 of his last 6 games on the road as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
5 of 6, 83% in this spot · 2024-2025
7 of 17, 41% in every other spot

The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through last season; this season joins the file as it is played.