Week 3 · Saturday, September 19 · 7:45 PM ET
Kennesaw State at 
Tennessee
Tennessee -35.5At Tennessee · Conference USA · SEC
Total 59.8
Total 59.8
The read
Tennessee is favored by 35.5 at home against Kennesaw State, and the total is 59.8. Tennessee comes in ranked. Tennessee has gone over 6 of 8 as a favorite when our model fades them, 2023-2026, better than the 15-14 they are everywhere else.
Spread
Tennessee -35.5Kennesaw State +35.5
Total
59.8Over and under
Moneyline
Tennessee -100000Kennesaw State +5000
Our number vs the market
No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.
How each team covers in this spot
Kennesaw StateNothing about this spot has moved their cover rate. That is a finding too.
TennesseeTennessee has gone over 6 of 8 as a favorite when our model fades them, 2023-2026.
6 of 8, 75% in this spot
15 of 29, 52% in every other spot
Tennessee has gone over 7 of 10 when our model fades them, 2023-2026.
7 of 10, 70% in this spot
14 of 27, 52% in every other spot
Against the spread and the total, the last three seasons plus this one, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot, and only where the team beats the whole league in that spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.