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Week 3 · Saturday, September 19 · 7:30 PM ET

Michigan State at Notre Dame

Notre Dame -29.8At Notre Dame · Big Ten · FBS Independents
Total 52.2
The read

Notre Dame is favored by 29.8 at home against Michigan State, and the total is 52.2. Notre Dame comes in ranked. Michigan State has covered 11 of 15 on the road, 2023-2026, better than the 7-15 they are everywhere else.

Spread
Notre Dame -29.8
Michigan State +29.8
Total
52.2
Over and under
Moneyline
Notre Dame -6500
Michigan State +2000

Our number vs the market

No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.

How each team covers in this spot

Michigan State
Michigan State has covered 11 of 15 on the road, 2023-2026.
11 of 15, 73% in this spot
7 of 22, 32% in every other spot
Notre Dame
Nothing about this spot has moved their cover rate. That is a finding too.

Against the spread and the total, the last three seasons plus this one, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot, and only where the team beats the whole league in that spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.

Player trends that apply to this game

Cam EdwardsRB has 9 of his last 10 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.
9 of 10, 90% in this spot · 2024-2025
11 of 16, 69% in every other spot

The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through last season; this season joins the file as it is played.