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Week 3 · Saturday, September 19 · 12:45 PM ET

NC State at Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt -3.5At Vanderbilt · ACC · SEC
Total 50.5
The read

Vanderbilt is favored by 3.5 at home against NC State, and the total is 50.5. Vanderbilt has gone over 15 of 21 at home, 2023-2026, better than the 8-8 they are everywhere else.

Spread
Vanderbilt -3.5
NC State +3.5
Total
50.5
Over and under
Moneyline
Vanderbilt -177.5
NC State +151

Our number vs the market

No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.

How each team covers in this spot

NC State
Nothing about this spot has moved their cover rate. That is a finding too.
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt has gone over 15 of 21 at home, 2023-2026.
15 of 21, 71% in this spot
8 of 16, 50% in every other spot
Vanderbilt has gone over 11 of 15 as a favorite, 2023-2026.
11 of 15, 73% in this spot
12 of 22, 55% in every other spot

Against the spread and the total, the last three seasons plus this one, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot, and only where the team beats the whole league in that spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.