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Week 3 · Saturday, September 19 · 7:00 PM ET

Ohio at South Alabama

South Alabama -6.2At South Alabama · Mid-American · Sun Belt
Total 50.8
The read

South Alabama is favored by 6.2 at home against Ohio, and the total is 50.8. Ohio has covered 7 of 10 in prime time, 2023-2026, better than the 15-14 they are everywhere else.

Spread
South Alabama -6.2
Ohio +6.2
Total
50.8
Over and under
Moneyline
South Alabama -205
Ohio +172.5

Our number vs the market

No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.

How each team covers in this spot

Ohio
Ohio has covered 7 of 10 in prime time, 2023-2026.
7 of 10, 70% in this spot
15 of 29, 52% in every other spot
South Alabama
Nothing about this spot has moved their cover rate. That is a finding too.

Against the spread and the total, the last three seasons plus this one, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot, and only where the team beats the whole league in that spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.

Player trends that apply to this game

Kentrel BullockRB has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
9 of 10, 90% in this spot · 2024-2025
7 of 13, 54% in every other spot

The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through last season; this season joins the file as it is played.