Week 3 · Saturday, September 19 · 10:00 PM ET
South Dakota at 
Boise State
Boise State -23.5At Boise State · MVFC · Pac-12
Total 54.5
Total 54.5
The read
Boise State is favored by 23.5 at home against South Dakota, and the total is 54.5. Boise State has covered 16 of 20 at home, 2023-2026, better than the 9-9 they are everywhere else.
Spread
Boise State -23.5South Dakota +23.5
Total
54.5Over and under
Our number vs the market
No lean here. Our number and the market are close enough that there is nothing to say, and we do not manufacture one.
How each team covers in this spot
South DakotaNothing about this spot has moved their cover rate. That is a finding too.
Boise StateBoise State has covered 16 of 20 at home, 2023-2026.
16 of 20, 80% in this spot
9 of 18, 50% in every other spot
Against the spread and the total, the last three seasons plus this one, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot, and only where the team beats the whole league in that spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.