Colorado at 
Northwestern
Total 48.2
Northwestern is favored by 3.5 at home against Colorado, and the total is 48.2. Our number has Northwestern by 8.4, so the lean is Northwestern -3.5. A lean, not a play. Northwestern has covered 9 of 12 at home, 2023-2026, better than the 10-13 they are everywhere else.
Our number vs the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
How each team covers in this spot
ColoradoNorthwesternAgainst the spread and the total, the last three seasons plus this one, pushes left out. Only the conditions that are true of this game, only where the team has at least 8 games in the spot, and only where the team beats the whole league in that spot. The second bar is the same team everywhere else.
Player trends that apply to this game
Caleb KomolafeRB has 5 of his last 6 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.The second number is the point. Everyone posts the first one. Game logs through last season; this season joins the file as it is played.