Tulane at 
Charlotte
Total 45.5
The script. The market has Tulane by 13.5 at a total of 45.5: Tulane 29.5, Charlotte 16 on paper. Tulane ahead means Turner carries it late; Charlotte chasing means Gonzales throws, and Barnes and Eley get the volume.
How it plays. The total of 45.5 is ordinary for college. Conference play.
What changed. No injury report or depth chart for college yet; the names above are the last ones we saw carrying it.
Tulane is favored by 13.5 on the road against Charlotte, and the total is 45.5. Our number has Tulane by 7.8, so the lean is Charlotte +13.5. A lean, not a play.
Our number vs the market
College is leans only. The model has no proven edge against the spread here, so this is where we disagree with the market, not a bet we are telling you to make.
The card
Nothing on the college card for this game yet.
Two registered rules, graded in public after each game: a player under when his line sits 50% or more above his last-10 average, and a total when our Sunday number sits 3 or more points off the opener. The kinds grade beside each pick counts the different kinds of evidence that agree: a rule, his history, the matchup, the script, the weather.
Tulane- QB Kadin Semonza 155 passing yards a game in 5 games
- RB Maurice Turner 68 rushing yards a game in 4 games, 18 last season
- RB Jaylin Lucas 49 rushing yards a game in 5 games
- WR Destyn Hill 45 receiving yards a game in 5 games
- WR Anthony Brown 34 receiving yards a game in 5 games, 37 last season
- WR Bredell Richardson 21 receiving yards a game in 5 games
Charlotte- QB Cole Gonzales 160 passing yards a game in 5 games
- RB Khamani Alexander 36 rushing yards a game in 6 games
- RB Henry Rutledge 35 rushing yards a game in 6 games, 11 last season
- WR Jaden Barnes 59 receiving yards a game in 6 games
- WR Derrick Eley 45 receiving yards a game in 6 games, 12 last season
- WR Jaylen Hampton 42 receiving yards a game in 5 games, 7 last season
Tulane with the ballWhat they like to do. Tulane are middle of the country in how they play.
Where they win and lose. They protect the quarterback (8th) and they never break a long run (19th-worst).
What the Charlotte defense brings. They cannot get a sack (8th-worst).
What works against them. Load the box: they do not break long runs (19th-worst).
Where the two meet. Tulane protect the quarterback (8th); Charlotte cannot get a sack (8th-worst). Edge Tulane.
Charlotte with the ballWhat they like to do. Charlotte play slow (7th-slowest).
Where they win and lose. They cannot run it (worst), never break a long run (5th-worst) and cannot move the ball (7th-worst).
What the Tulane defense brings. A middle-of-the-country defense.
What works against them. Make them run it (worst). Load the box: they do not break long runs (5th-worst). Make them drive the length of the field (7th-worst).
Where the two meet. No strength meets a weakness here; it comes down to talent, and the power gap says who has it.
Charlotte 0 at Tulane 27Charlotte covered, Tulane -31Tulane 34 at Charlotte 3Tulane covered, Charlotte +14.5