NFL Team Rankings 2025
Every NFL team, ranked by our data: what the offense and defense did by EPA, and how the head coaches stack up. The college sibling lives on College Team Rankings.
2025 offense by total EPA generated — expected points added on offense over the season.
| Rank | Team | Total EPA | Success % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Buffalo Bills | +164.2 | 49.5% |
| 2 |  Dallas Cowboys | +148.0 | 49.2% |
| 3 |  New England Patriots | +146.8 | 50.0% |
| 4 |  Los Angeles Rams | +138.5 | 53.5% |
| 5 |  Green Bay Packers | +121.9 | 49.8% |
| 6 |  San Francisco 49ers | +121.1 | 50.6% |
| 7 |  Indianapolis Colts | +114.5 | 49.4% |
| 8 |  Detroit Lions | +95.9 | 48.6% |
| 9 |  Jacksonville Jaguars | +79.2 | 48.1% |
| 10 |  Chicago Bears | +76.6 | 47.4% |
| 11 |  Seattle Seahawks | +61.7 | 50.2% |
| 12 |  Baltimore Ravens | +58.2 | 48.7% |
| 13 |  Kansas City Chiefs | +53.0 | 46.6% |
| 14 |  Pittsburgh Steelers | +48.3 | 46.9% |
| 15 |  Cincinnati Bengals | +45.4 | 49.2% |
| 16 |  Denver Broncos | +41.6 | 46.0% |
| 17 |  New York Giants | +37.6 | 45.4% |
| 18 |  Washington Commanders | +32.2 | 48.4% |
| 19 |  Philadelphia Eagles | +16.1 | 45.3% |
| 20 |  Miami Dolphins | +8.9 | 46.5% |
| 21 |  Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -2.7 | 45.7% |
| 22 |  Houston Texans | -4.8 | 44.5% |
| 23 |  Los Angeles Chargers | -19.1 | 46.5% |
| 24 |  Carolina Panthers | -23.2 | 46.3% |
| 25 |  Atlanta Falcons | -23.4 | 46.6% |
| 26 |  Arizona Cardinals | -29.5 | 46.5% |
| 27 |  New York Jets | -71.9 | 45.3% |
| 28 |  Minnesota Vikings | -90.5 | 44.6% |
| 29 |  New Orleans Saints | -134.3 | 44.2% |
| 30 |  Tennessee Titans | -142.7 | 41.5% |
| 31 |  Las Vegas Raiders | -194.2 | 42.9% |
| 32 |  Cleveland Browns | -217.3 | 38.0% |
2025 defense by EPA allowed — fewer expected points surrendered ranks higher.
| Rank | Team | EPA allowed | Success % allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Seahawks | -169.1 | 42.3% |
| 2 | Houston Texans | -144.3 | 41.4% |
| 3 | Minnesota Vikings | -100.2 | 44.3% |
| 4 | Cleveland Browns | -97.5 | 43.2% |
| 5 | Jacksonville Jaguars | -80.3 | 45.3% |
| 6 | Los Angeles Rams | -64.5 | 45.0% |
| 7 | Denver Broncos | -52.6 | 42.0% |
| 8 | Philadelphia Eagles | -50.7 | 44.8% |
| 9 | Los Angeles Chargers | -49.1 | 45.2% |
| 10 | New England Patriots | -46.0 | 47.3% |
| 11 | New Orleans Saints | -36.9 | 44.8% |
| 12 | Kansas City Chiefs | +15.5 | 47.8% |
| 13 | Detroit Lions | +21.5 | 45.8% |
| 14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +27.2 | 48.0% |
| 15 | Buffalo Bills | +29.5 | 47.6% |
| 16 | Atlanta Falcons | +32.2 | 48.0% |
| 17 | Las Vegas Raiders | +34.3 | 46.9% |
| 18 | Pittsburgh Steelers | +36.1 | 46.5% |
| 19 | San Francisco 49ers | +36.3 | 50.1% |
| 20 | Baltimore Ravens | +37.4 | 47.1% |
| 21 | Chicago Bears | +39.1 | 48.7% |
| 22 | Indianapolis Colts | +45.3 | 49.4% |
| 23 | Carolina Panthers | +61.0 | 46.5% |
| 24 | Green Bay Packers | +78.6 | 48.1% |
| 25 | Tennessee Titans | +87.5 | 47.0% |
| 26 | Miami Dolphins | +92.8 | 50.0% |
| 27 | New York Giants | +96.7 | 48.7% |
| 28 | Arizona Cardinals | +127.8 | 51.0% |
| 29 | Cincinnati Bengals | +134.9 | 49.9% |
| 30 | Washington Commanders | +150.7 | 49.1% |
| 31 | New York Jets | +169.8 | 49.0% |
| 32 | Dallas Cowboys | +193.3 | 51.2% |
Active head coaches by career regular-season win %. (NFL cover % against the spread is a later add, like the CFB board.)
| Rank | Coach | Team | Win % | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Vrabel | New England Patriots | 81.0% | 1 |
| 2 | Mike Macdonald | Seattle Seahawks | 73.0% | 2 |
| 3 | Liam Coen | Jacksonville Jaguars | 72.2% | 1 |
| 4 | Andy Reid | Kansas City Chiefs | 69.9% | 13 |
| 5 | Nick Sirianni | Philadelphia Eagles | 68.4% | 5 |
| 6 | Sean McDermott | Buffalo Bills | 64.6% | 9 |
| 7 | Ben Johnson | Chicago Bears | 63.2% | 1 |
| 8 | Matt LaFleur | Green Bay Packers | 63.1% | 7 |
| 9 | Sean McVay | Los Angeles Rams | 61.8% | 9 |
| 10 | DeMeco Ryans | Houston Texans | 61.4% | 3 |
| 11 | Kevin O'Connell | Minnesota Vikings | 61.4% | 4 |
| 12 | Mike Tomlin | Pittsburgh Steelers | 61.4% | 19 |
| 13 | Sean Payton | Denver Broncos | 61.1% | 3 |
| 14 | Jim Harbaugh | Los Angeles Chargers | 61.1% | 2 |
| 15 | John Harbaugh | Baltimore Ravens | 60.9% | 18 |
| 16 | Dan Campbell | Detroit Lions | 56.7% | 5 |
| 17 | Kyle Shanahan | San Francisco 49ers | 55.8% | 9 |
| 18 | Dan Quinn | Washington Commanders | 51.4% | 2 |
| 19 | Mike McDaniel | Miami Dolphins | 50.0% | 4 |
| 20 | Todd Bowles | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 50.0% | 4 |
| 21 | Shane Steichen | Indianapolis Colts | 49.0% | 3 |
| 22 | Zac Taylor | Cincinnati Bengals | 46.7% | 7 |
| 23 | Raheem Morris | Atlanta Falcons | 44.4% | 3 |
| 24 | Kevin Stefanski | Cleveland Browns | 44.2% | 6 |
| 25 | Brian Schottenheimer | Dallas Cowboys | 44.1% | 1 |
| 26 | Dave Canales | Carolina Panthers | 37.1% | 2 |
| 27 | Kellen Moore | New Orleans Saints | 35.3% | 1 |
| 28 | Brian Daboll | New York Giants | 33.6% | 4 |
| 29 | Jonathan Gannon | Arizona Cardinals | 29.4% | 3 |
| 30 | Pete Carroll | Las Vegas Raiders | 17.6% | 1 |
| 31 | Aaron Glenn | New York Jets | 17.6% | 1 |
| 32 | Brian Callahan | Tennessee Titans | 17.6% | 2 |