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Week 1 · Sunday Sep 13 · Final

DolphinsatRaiders

FinalMIA 13, LV 27Raiders by 14
SpreadLV -3Raiders covered
Total40.5stayed under, 40 points
OpenedLV -3moved 0 points by kickoff

The passing game. Expect the Raiders to attack through the air all day.

Sunday: Raiders threw for 160 yards and 3 touchdowns.

The model's reads, Over 40.5: it lost.

The depth charts as they stand today.

Raiders passing game, 6th, against a pass defense ranked 31st.

Longer bar, better unit.

Dolphins with the ball

Dolphins offenseRaiders defense
27th
Passing
29th
14th
Run game
15th
3rd
Pass rush
3rd
14th
Third down
21st
10th
Big plays
29th
26th
Turnovers
17th
26th
Red zone
27th

Raiders with the ball

Raiders offenseDolphins defense
6th
Passing
31st
26th
Run game
31st
28th
Pass rush
25th
4th
Third down
32nd
16th
Big plays
20th
18th
Turnovers
19th
18th
Red zone
18th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 7 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.

Dolphins scored 13 against a team total of 18.75: under.

Dolphins scored 13 against a team total of 18.75: under. the spread and total, split.

Raiders scored 27 against a team total of 21.75: over. the spread and total, split.

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · Dolphins two or more time zones from home in the late-afternoon window with the line on 3
79-40
this game200020052010201520202025
79 covered40 did notevery game since 1999, 66%; since 2021 16-5

The last time the Dolphins were here, Nov 28, 2010: beat the OAK by 16 as a 3-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 119 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Dolphins.

This week · Dolphins with a total of 41 or under two or more time zones from home in week 1
8-19
this game200020052010201520202025
8 covered19 did notevery game since 1999, 30%

The last time the Dolphins were here, Sep 13, 2026: lost to the Raiders by 14 as a 3-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 27 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Raiders.

This week · Dolphins with a first-year head coach after traveling 1,500 miles or more indoors
38-57
this game200020052010201520202025
38 covered57 did notevery game since 1999, 40%; since 2021 14-14

The last time the Dolphins were here, Jan 9, 2000: beat the Seahawks by 3 as a 3.5-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 95 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Raiders.

This week · The total in the first four weeks in the late-afternoon window with the spread on 3
22-41
this game200020052010201520202025
22 went over41 stayed underevery game since 1999, 35%; since 2021 2-8

Inside the luck line: 63 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the under.

This week · The total in week 1 with the spread on 3 with a total of 41 or under
10-21
this game200020052010201520202025
10 went over21 stayed underevery game since 1999, 32%

Inside the luck line: 31 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the under.

Searched this week: 1,157 spread situations and 92 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 3.92 on the spread and 3.37 on the total.

No player line on this game was archived with a read.

Nothing was on the official card for this game.