Jaguars pass defense, 15th, against a passing game ranked 26th.
Longer bar, better unit.
Jaguars with the ball
Jaguars offenseBroncos defense
5th
Passing
8th
13th
Run game
25th
17th
Pass rush
5th
7th
Third down
23rd
9th
Big plays
18th
22nd
Turnovers
7th
10th
Red zone
10th
Broncos with the ball
Broncos offenseJaguars defense
26th
Passing
15th
15th
Run game
4th
2nd
Pass rush
19th
24th
Third down
10th
30th
Big plays
5th
15th
Turnovers
3rd
11th
Red zone
3rd
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 7 as they stood at kickoff, close-game snaps.
Jaguars scored 13 against a team total of 21.5: under.
Jaguars scored 13 against a team total of 21.5: under. the spread and total, split.
Broncos scored 20 against a team total of 24: under. the spread and total, split.
Broncos have gone under 13 of 19 after a loss.
Broncos have gone under 13 of 19 after a losshit, 33 points
16 of 37 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new QB in 2024 · points to Under 45.5
13 of 19in this spot
Broncos have covered 7 of 10 as a favorite after a losscovered
21 of 45 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new QB in 2024 · points to Broncos -2.5
7 of 10in this spot
Broncos have covered 2 of the last 3 meetings
Last time, 2025 week 16: Jaguars 34, Broncos 20, Jaguars covered.
2-1against the spread
The situations on the schedule that fit this game.
This week · Broncos after losing by 14 or more off a Monday night game
74-101
this game200020052010201520202025
74 covered101 did notevery game since 1999, 42%; since 2021 15-19
The last time the Broncos were here, Sep 19, 1999: lost to the Chiefs by 16 as a 3.5-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 175 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Jaguars.
This week · Jaguars after winning by 14 or more in the first four weeks with the worse head coach by two tiers
39-57
this game200020052010201520202025
39 covered57 did notevery game since 1999, 41%; since 2021 10-17
The last time the Jaguars were here, Sep 23, 2001: beat the Titans by 7 as a 2-point favorite.
Inside the luck line: 96 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Broncos.
This week · Broncos in a pick 'em off a Monday night game with the worse quarterback by two tiers
26-41
this game200020052010201520202025
26 covered41 did notevery game since 1999, 39%; since 2021 6-9
The last time the Broncos were here, Sep 17, 2017: beat the Cowboys by 25 as a 2.5-point underdog.
Inside the luck line: 67 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Jaguars.
Searched this week: 1,401 spread situations and 79 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.03 on the spread and 3.16 on the total.
J.K. Dobbins has 8 of his last 9 games at home as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
J.K. DobbinsRBmissed, 36 rush yds
J.K. Dobbins has 8 of his last 9 games at home as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards. 12 of 23 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
8 of 9last 9
Jaylen WaddleWRhit, 138 rec yds
Jaylen Waddle has 6 of his last 9 games outdoors as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards. 15 of 34 everywhere else, 2024-2026.
6 of 9last 9
No player line on this game was archived with a read.