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Games › Redo › What Lost It

What Lost It · Week 5, 2026

The play that lost the game, for every NFL team

The one snap that cost each team the most win chance this week, worst first. Tap a team for the three plays that cost it, or for winners, the three that saved it.

  1. 1. FalconsL 30-23 vs Ravens

    OT 2:11 · 1st & 10 at the ATL 48

    Tua Tagovailoa's pass to Drake London was intercepted by Kyle Hamilton.

    -50 points of win chance
  2. 2. EaglesL 19-17 at Jaguars

    Q4 0:01 · 1st & 10 at the PHI 39

    Cam Little's 57-yard field goal was good.

    -45 points of win chance
  3. 3. GiantsT 27-27 at Commanders

    OT 8:01 · 4th & 8 at the WAS 28

    Dominic Zvada's 46-yard field goal missed.

    -36 points of win chance
  4. 4. JetsW 17-12 vs Browns

    Q4 4:20 · 1st & 10 at the CLE 39

    Geno Smith was sacked by Carson Schwesinger for a loss of 13 and fumbled; the Browns recovered.

    -34 points of win chance
  5. 5. BrownsL 17-12 at Jets

    Q4 4:01 · 4th & 10 at the NYJ 43

    Corey Bojorquez fumbled the snap on a punt and the Jets recovered.

    -34 points of win chance
  6. 6. JaguarsW 19-17 vs Eagles

    Q4 0:12 · 4th & 6 at the JAX 30

    Jake Elliott's 48-yard field goal was good.

    -33 points of win chance
  7. 7. VikingsW 23-13 at Saints

    Q3 2:49 · 3rd & 15 at the NO 19

    Kyler Murray hit Myles Price for 6 yards, but Myles Price fumbled and the Saints recovered and scored.

    -32 points of win chance
  8. 8. CommandersT 27-27 vs Giants

    OT 9:20 · 3rd & 10 at the WAS 45

    Jameis Winston scrambled for 15 yards and a first down.

    -25 points of win chance
  9. 9. CowboysL 24-16 vs Buccaneers

    Q4 1:22 · 2nd & 1 at the TB 24

    Dak Prescott's pass to Jake Ferguson was intercepted by Alex Anzalone.

    -24 points of win chance
  10. 10. RamsL 37-34 vs Bills

    OT 8:48 · 2nd & 16 at the BUF 21

    Josh Allen hit Khalil Shakir for 57 yards.

    -23 points of win chance
  11. 11. BillsW 37-34 at Rams

    OT 6:30 · 2nd & 10 at the LA 44

    Matthew Stafford hit Puka Nacua for 21 yards.

    -22 points of win chance
  12. 12. ChargersL 23-17 vs Broncos

    Q4 8:06 · 2nd & 10 at the LAC 32

    Justin Herbert was sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 9 and fumbled; the Broncos recovered.

    -21 points of win chance
  13. 13. 49ersW 32-29 at Seahawks

    Q3 7:24 · 3rd & 7 at the SF 37

    Brock Purdy's pass to Jacob Cowing was intercepted by Nehemiah Pritchett.

    -20 points of win chance
  14. 14. SeahawksL 32-29 vs 49ers

    Q2 0:18 · 1st & 10 at the SEA 4

    George Holani was stopped for a loss of 4 and fumbled; the 49ers recovered and scored.

    -20 points of win chance
  15. 15. BroncosW 23-17 at Chargers

    Q3 1:07 · 1st & 10 at the DEN 42

    Kimani Vidal ran 42 yards for a touchdown.

    -19 points of win chance
  16. 16. BearsL 31-7 at Packers

    Q3 13:19 · 3rd & 22 at the GB 47

    Jordan Love hit Christian Watson for a 53-yard touchdown.

    -16 points of win chance
  17. 17. SaintsL 23-13 vs Vikings

    Q3 15:00 · Kickoff

    Jayden Price fumbled Will Reichard's kickoff return and the Vikings recovered.

    -15 points of win chance
  18. 18. RavensW 30-23 at Falcons

    Q1 8:14 · 2nd & 19 at the BAL 25

    Tyler Huntley hit Mark Andrews for 9 yards, but Mark Andrews fumbled and the Falcons recovered and scored.

    -15 points of win chance
  19. 19. ColtsL 34-22 at Steelers

    Q1 8:57 · 1st & 10 at the PIT 20

    Aaron Rodgers hit Jaylen Warren for an 80-yard touchdown.

    -14 points of win chance
  20. 20. CardinalsL 45-21 vs Lions

    Q2 9:38 · 4th & 1 at the ARI 38

    Jared Goff hit Sam LaPorta for a 38-yard touchdown.

    -14 points of win chance
  21. 21. PatriotsW 45-17 vs Raiders

    Q2 4:33 · 1st & 10 at the NE 35

    Corey Kiner ran for 2 yards and fumbled; the Raiders recovered.

    -11 points of win chance
  22. 22. SteelersW 34-22 vs Colts

    Q3 12:08 · 2nd & 8 at the PIT 32

    Daniel Jones hit Tyler Warren for 29 yards.

    -10 points of win chance
  23. 23. TitansL 26-3 vs Texans

    Q2 12:17 · 1st & 10 at midfield

    Cam Ward's pass to Tony Pollard was intercepted by Jake Hansen.

    -10 points of win chance
  24. 24. LionsW 45-21 at Cardinals

    Q1 10:18 · 3rd & 11 at the ARI 48

    Jacoby Brissett hit Kendrick Bourne for 22 yards and a first down.

    -10 points of win chance
  25. 25. BengalsW 31-24 at Dolphins

    Q2 7:03 · 2nd & 6 at the MIA 10

    Joe Burrow hit Chase Brown for 3 yards, but Chase Brown fumbled and the Dolphins recovered.

    -9 points of win chance
  26. 26. DolphinsL 31-24 vs Bengals

    Q1 15:00 · Kickoff

    Dohnte Meyers returned Riley Patterson's kickoff 81 yards.

    -9 points of win chance
  27. 27. BuccaneersW 24-16 at Cowboys

    Q2 1:52 · 1st & 10 at the DAL 13

    Dak Prescott hit Ryan Flournoy for 48 yards.

    -8 points of win chance
  28. 28. RaidersL 45-17 at Patriots

    Q1 11:30 · 2nd & 10 at the LV 35

    Drake Maye hit DeMario Douglas for a 35-yard touchdown.

    -8 points of win chance
  29. 29. PackersW 31-7 vs Bears

    Q1 14:35 · 2nd & 9 at the CHI 30

    Tyson Bagent hit D'Andre Swift for 13 yards.

    -7 points of win chance
  30. 30. TexansW 26-3 at Titans

    Q2 14:19 · 3rd & 2 at the TEN 17

    Woody Marks was stopped for no gain.

    -4 points of win chance

On bye: Panthers, Chiefs.

Win chance is the share of games like this one, from that spot, that the team went on to win. Each play shows how far it moved.

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