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Class of 2027 · receiver

Aden Starling

6-0, 175 · Shadow Creek · Pearland, TX

Uncommitted since May 7, after decommitting from Georgia

76offer strength · No. 561
0.8711composite · 3-star
18offers · 15 power

Where he is likely to commit

STM odds · provisional
LSU logoLSU
official visit Jun 5; the strongest program on his board; last contact Jun 5
45%
Arkansas logoArkansas
official visit May 29; last contact May 29; out of state
17%
Purdue logoPurdue
official visit Jun 12; last contact Jun 12; weaker than most programs on his board
14%
Show all 5 programsTexas logoTexas
one of the stronger programs on his board; in-state; no official visit yet
6%
Houston logoHouston
he decommitted from them Oct 15; close to home; in-state
2%
Shares of 100% across his offers, from dated offers, visits, distance, need and recent contact; no expert picks or rankings. On 212 held-out commits the top pick was right 42% of the time (visits alone 23%). How the odds are made.

Every offer

18 offers · visited 3
Texas logoTexas
SEC · strength 91
cold
offered Jun 1, 2025
LSU logoLSU
SEC · strength 91
cool
official visit Jun 5
South Carolina logoSouth Carolina
SEC · strength 82
cold
offered Jul 26, 2024
Georgia logoGeorgia
SEC · strength 90
Decommitted
May 7
Houston logoHouston
Big 12 · strength 76
Decommitted
Oct 15, 2025
Wake Forest logoWake Forest
ACC · strength 71
cold
offered Jun 2, 2025
Show all 18 offersOle Miss logoOle Miss
SEC · strength 83
cold
offered Jun 13, 2025
Wisconsin logoWisconsin
Big Ten · strength 74
cold
offered May 9, 2025
Kentucky logoKentucky
SEC · strength 74
cold
offered Dec 30, 2025
Missouri logoMissouri
SEC · strength 71
cold
offered Nov 4, 2025
Baylor logoBaylor
Big 12 · strength 63
cold
offered May 10, 2024
Arkansas logoArkansas
SEC · strength 61
cool
official visit May 29
Maryland logoMaryland
Big Ten · strength 54
cold
offered Apr 8, 2025
Arizona State logoArizona State
Big 12 · strength 56
cold
offered Jan 27, 2024
UTSA logoUTSA
American Athletic · strength 45
cold
offered Jan 31, 2025
Purdue logoPurdue
Big Ten · strength 50
cool
official visit Jun 12
Hawai'i logoHawai'i
Mountain West · strength 27
cold
offered Sep 28, 2022
Sacramento State logoSacramento State
FCS · strength 6
cold
offered Apr 8, 2025
Best programs first, by what each offer is worth in our grade: program strength times how rarely that program offers (how it is made). Warm means an offer, visit or camp in the last 60 days or an official visit in the last 120; cool, contact in the last 180; cold, older or a decommit. A count is the offers on record, not every offer the staffs made.

Where he fits

best 3 of 18 offers
Best fits
Purdue logoPurdue
Thin at receiver (8 with 2+ years left); has started 6 receivers his size since 2022; 3 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 1
LSU logoLSU
Has started 5 receivers his size since 2022; STM odds 45%; 1 in his last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 2
Wisconsin logoWisconsin
Thin at receiver (7 with 2+ years left); has started 8 receivers his size since 2022; 2 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 3
Need (how thin the program is at his spot) x fit (whether it starts players his size) x room (who leaves after this season), and while he is uncommitted, STM odds. How it is made. Not advice, and never a dollar figure.
Where his size starts

470 of the 1,613 FBS starters at receiver since 2022 were his size (5-11 to 6-1, 163 to 187 pounds): most in the Big Ten (76), SEC (67) and American Athletic (54). Programs that start it most: Boise State (10), UTSA (10) and Penn State (9). Of his offers, UTSA (10), Ole Miss (8), Wisconsin (8) and Kentucky (7) have started it.

Who needs him

Of his 18 offers, Wisconsin has the thinnest room at receiver: 7 with 2+ years left of 15, 2 in their last year, 14 portal exits in 3 seasons, 1 commit this cycle. Also thin there: Purdue, Arizona State and Baylor.

Starter seasons 2022-2026: six or more games in one of the position's starting slots by volume (college snap counts are not public). How it is made. Room is 2+ years left plus 2027 commits at the spot against the 68 programs mapped (the power conferences and Notre Dame); exits are the 2024-2026 portal feeds. How it is made.

Boards that looked like his

4 of 10 drafted, 3 in rounds 1-2
Henry Ruggs IIIHenry Ruggs III
Class of 2017 · WR · signed Alabama
6 offers from top-25 programs; Starling had 5; both about 6-0, 175
Drafted 2020, round 1, No. 12 · 2 NFL seasons as a starter
match 84
Calvin RidleyCalvin Ridley
Class of 2015 · WR · signed Alabama
Both offered by LSU and Georgia; both about 6-0, 170
Drafted 2018, round 1, No. 26 · 5 NFL seasons as a starter
match 78
Dylan Crawford
Class of 2016 · WR · signing not on record
9 offers from top-25 programs; Starling had 5; both about 6-1, 175
Not drafted
match 75
Marvin MimsMarvin Mims
Class of 2020 · WR · signed Oklahoma
7 offers from top-25 programs; Starling had 5; both about 6-0, 175
Drafted 2023, round 2, No. 63
match 75
Stacy ColeyStacy Coley
Class of 2013 · WR · signed Miami
Both offered by Georgia and South Carolina; both about 6-1, 175
Drafted 2017, round 7, No. 219
match 74
Show all 10
Texas logoReggie Hemphill-Mapps
Class of 2016 · WR · signed Texas
Both offered by LSU and Texas; both about 6-1, 170
Not drafted
match 73
Clyde Leflore-Chriss
Class of 2016 · WR · signing not on record
Both offered by LSU and Georgia; both about 6-0, 170
Not drafted
match 73
Jacob McCrary
Class of 2014 · WR · signing not on record
8 offers from top-25 programs; Starling had 5; both about 6-0, 170
Not drafted
match 72
Florida logoJoshua Hammond
Class of 2016 · WR · signed Florida
Both offered by LSU, Georgia and Wisconsin; both about 6-0, 180
Not drafted
match 71
Jordan HudsonJordan Hudson
Class of 2022 · WR · signed TCU
Both offered by LSU and Texas; both about 6-1, 180
Not drafted yet
match 70
Past recruits whose offer boards looked most like his: same position, about the same size, offers from programs of the same strength, about as many. Past boards are offers at signing day; his is the board he holds today (Nov 2, 2026). Classes 2016 to 2026 are thin in our record today, so most matches come from 2010 to 2015. 9 of these 10 have finished their draft window. History, not a forecast for him.

Timeline

26 dated moves since Sep 28, 2022
Purdue logoOfficial visit PurdueJun 12
LSU logoOfficial visit LSUJun 5
Arkansas logoOfficial visit ArkansasMay 29
Georgia logoDecommitted GeorgiaMay 7
Arkansas logoOffered ArkansasJan 27
LSU logoOffered LSUJan 25
Kentucky logoOffered KentuckyDec 30, 2025
Georgia logoCommitted GeorgiaDec 4, 2025
Show all 26 moves
Missouri logoOffered MissouriNov 4, 2025
Houston logoDecommitted HoustonOct 15, 2025
Ole Miss logoOffered Ole MissJun 13, 2025
Georgia logoOffered GeorgiaJun 6, 2025
Wake Forest logoOffered Wake ForestJun 2, 2025
Texas logoOffered TexasJun 1, 2025
Wisconsin logoOffered WisconsinMay 9, 2025
Maryland logoOffered MarylandApr 8, 2025
Sacramento State logoOffered Sacramento StateApr 8, 2025
UTSA logoOffered UTSAJan 31, 2025
Houston logoCommitted HoustonOct 6, 2024
Houston logoOffered HoustonSep 17, 2024
South Carolina logoOffered South CarolinaJul 26, 2024
Purdue logoOffered PurdueJun 19, 2024
Texas A&M logoCamp Texas A&MJun 9, 2024
Baylor logoOffered BaylorMay 10, 2024
Arizona State logoOffered Arizona StateJan 27, 2024
Hawai'i logoOffered Hawai'iSep 28, 2022
Newest first, from recruit posts and the national recruiting data. An offer with no posted date sits in the offers list only.
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