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Class of 2027 · offensive tackle

Alexander Herrera

6-6, 330 · Crowley, TX

Uncommitted since Oct 29, after decommitting from TCU

65offer strength · No. 877
0.8456composite · 3-star
16offers · 10 power

Where he is likely to commit

STM odds · provisional
SMU logoSMU
official visit Jun 19; last contact Jun 19; in-state
44%
TCU logoTCU
official visit May 29; one of the stronger programs on his board; he decommitted from them Oct 29
43%
Texas Tech logoTexas Tech
the strongest program on his board; last contact Jun 2; in-state
3%
Show all 5 programsBaylor logoBaylor
one of the stronger programs on his board; in-state; last contact Jan 16
2%
Oklahoma State logoOklahoma State
last contact Apr 20; out of state; no official visit yet
1%
Shares of 100% across his offers, from dated offers, visits, distance, need and recent contact; no expert picks or rankings. On 212 held-out commits the top pick was right 42% of the time (visits alone 23%). How the odds are made.

Every offer

16 offers · visited 2
Texas Tech logoTexas Tech
Big 12 · strength 84
cold
offered Jun 2, 2024
TCU logoTCU
Big 12 · strength 78
Decommitted
Oct 29
Pittsburgh logoPittsburgh
ACC · strength 68
cold
offered Apr 30, 2025
Nebraska logoNebraska
Big Ten · strength 63
cold
offered Jan 21, 2025
Baylor logoBaylor
Big 12 · strength 63
cold
offered Jan 16, 2025
Arkansas logoArkansas
SEC · strength 61
cold
offered Jun 10, 2025
Show all 16 offersKansas logoKansas
Big 12 · strength 51
cold
offered May 4, 2025
Arizona State logoArizona State
Big 12 · strength 56
cold
offered Jan 13, 2025
Oklahoma State logoOklahoma State
Big 12 · strength 53
cold
offered Apr 20
SMU logoSMU
ACC · strength 58
cool
official visit Jun 19
Texas State logoTexas State
Sun Belt · strength 38
cold
offered Jan 22, 2025
UNLV logoUNLV
Mountain West · strength 32
cold
offered Jan 27, 2025
Western Kentucky logoWestern Kentucky
Conference USA · strength 25
cold
offered Jan 28
Arkansas State logoArkansas State
Sun Belt · strength 15
cold
offered Jan 23, 2025
UTEP logoUTEP
Conference USA · strength 16
cold
offered May 4
Sam Houston logoSam Houston
Conference USA · strength 9
cold
offered May 3
Best programs first, by what each offer is worth in our grade: program strength times how rarely that program offers (how it is made). Warm means an offer, visit or camp in the last 60 days or an official visit in the last 120; cool, contact in the last 180; cold, older or a decommit. A count is the offers on record, not every offer the staffs made.

Where he fits

best 3 of 16 offers
Best fits
TCU logoTCU
2 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season; STM odds 43%; has started 1 offensive line his size since 2022
No. 1
SMU logoSMU
Thin at offensive line (10 with 2+ years left); 3 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season; STM odds 44%
No. 2
Baylor logoBaylor
Thin at offensive line (10 with 2+ years left); 3 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season; STM odds 2%
No. 3
Need (how thin the program is at his spot) x fit (whether it starts players his size) x room (who leaves after this season), and while he is uncommitted, STM odds. How it is made. Not advice, and never a dollar figure.
Where his size starts

119 of the 741 FBS starters at tackle since 2022 were his size (6-5 to 6-7, 307 to 353 pounds): most in the Unknown (25), SEC (22) and ACC (20). Programs that start it most: NC STATE (5), FRESNO ST (4) and PITTSBURGH (4). Of his offers, UNLV (4) and TCU (1) have started it.

Who needs him

Of his 16 offers, Kansas has the thinnest room at offensive line: 8 with 2+ years left of 19, 2 in their last year, 8 portal exits in 3 seasons, 3 commits this cycle. Also thin there: SMU, Oklahoma State and Baylor.

Starter seasons 2022-2025: six or more games in one of the position's starting slots by volume (college snap counts are not public). How it is made. Room is 2+ years left plus 2027 commits at the spot against the 68 programs mapped (the power conferences and Notre Dame); exits are the 2024-2026 portal feeds. How it is made.

Boards that looked like his

2 of 10 drafted
Bryson Hurst
Class of 2022 · OT · signing not on record
2 offers from top-25 programs; Herrera had 2; both about 6-6, 320
Not drafted yet
match 75
Mike Grimm
Class of 2014 · OL · signing not on record
18 offers; Herrera had 16; both about 6-6, 330
Not drafted
match 73
Clemson logoSpencer Region
Class of 2011 · OG · signed Clemson
5 offers from top-25 programs; Herrera had 2; both about 6-6, 330
Not drafted
match 71
Denver KirklandDenver Kirkland
Class of 2013 · OG · signed Arkansas
4 offers from top-25 programs; Herrera had 2; both about 6-5, 335
Not drafted
match 67
Ohio State logoKyle Dodson
Class of 2012 · OT · signed Ohio State
6 offers from top-25 programs; Herrera had 2; both about 6-6, 330
Not drafted
match 67
Show all 10
USC logoAundrey Walker
Class of 2011 · OT · signed USC
7 offers from top-25 programs; Herrera had 2; both about 6-5, 330
Not drafted
match 67
Ohio State logoMarcelys Jones
Class of 2014 · OG · signed Ohio State
2 offers from top-25 programs; Herrera had 2; both about 6-5, 325
Not drafted
match 64
Auburn logoRoszell Gayden
Class of 2010 · OT · signed Auburn
Both offered by Arkansas and Arizona State; both about 6-6, 315
Not drafted
match 63
Darian KinnardDarian Kinnard
Class of 2018 · OT · signed Kentucky
2 offers from top-25 programs; Herrera had 2; both about 6-7, 335
Drafted 2022, round 5, No. 145
match 62
Shane LemieuxShane Lemieux
Class of 2015 · OG · signed Oregon
Both offered by Arkansas and Arizona State; 6-5, 310
Drafted 2020, round 5, No. 150 · 1 NFL season as a starter
match 62
Past recruits whose offer boards looked most like his: same position, about the same size, offers from programs of the same strength, about as many. Past boards are offers at signing day; his is the board he holds today (Nov 2, 2026). Classes 2016 to 2026 are thin in our record today, so most matches come from 2010 to 2015. 9 of these 10 have finished their draft window. History, not a forecast for him.

Timeline

20 dated moves since Jun 2, 2024
TCU logoDecommitted TCUOct 29
SMU logoOfficial visit SMUJun 19
TCU logoCommitted TCUMay 29
TCU logoOfficial visit TCUMay 29
UTEP logoOffered UTEPMay 4
Sam Houston logoOffered Sam HoustonMay 3
Oklahoma State logoOffered Oklahoma StateApr 20
Western Kentucky logoOffered Western KentuckyJan 28
Show all 20 moves
Arkansas logoOffered ArkansasJun 10, 2025
Kansas logoOffered KansasMay 4, 2025
Pittsburgh logoOffered PittsburghApr 30, 2025
TCU logoOffered TCUFeb 2, 2025
UNLV logoOffered UNLVJan 27, 2025
Arkansas State logoOffered Arkansas StateJan 23, 2025
SMU logoOffered SMUJan 22, 2025
Texas State logoOffered Texas StateJan 22, 2025
Nebraska logoOffered NebraskaJan 21, 2025
Baylor logoOffered BaylorJan 16, 2025
Arizona State logoOffered Arizona StateJan 13, 2025
Texas Tech logoOffered Texas TechJun 2, 2024
Newest first, from recruit posts and the national recruiting data. An offer with no posted date sits in the offers list only.
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