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Class of 2027 · running back

Brennen Lacey

5-11, 190 · Frisco, TX

Uncommitted since Oct 22, after decommitting from LSU

92offer strength · No. 126
0.8867composite · 3-star
21offers · 15 power

Where he is likely to commit

STM odds · provisional
Miami logoMiami
official visit Jun 12; one of the stronger programs on his board; last contact Jun 12
35%TCU logoTCU
in-state; 40 miles from home; one of the stronger programs on his board
9%Texas Tech logoTexas Tech
one of the stronger programs on his board; in-state; no official visit yet
7%
Show all 5 programsHouston logoHouston
in-state; one of the stronger programs on his board; no official visit yet
6%Baylor logoBaylor
in-state; 110 miles from home; no official visit yet
5%
Shares of 100% across his offers, from dated offers, visits, distance, need and recent contact; no expert picks or rankings. On 212 held-out commits the top pick was right 42% of the time (visits alone 23%). How the odds are made.

Every offer

21 offers · visited 1Notre Dame logoNotre Dame
FBS Independents · strength 96
cold
offered Mar 5
Texas Tech logoTexas Tech
Big 12 · strength 84
cold
offered Mar 6
LSU logoLSU
SEC · strength 91
Decommitted
Oct 22
Ohio State logoOhio State
Big Ten · strength 93
cold
offered Mar 6
Florida logoFlorida
SEC · strength 85
cold
offered Mar 27
UCLA logoUCLA
Big Ten · strength 79
cold
offered Apr 7
Show all 21 offersTCU logoTCU
Big 12 · strength 78
cold
offered Mar 4
Houston logoHouston
Big 12 · strength 76
cold
offered Mar 5
Miami logoMiami
ACC · strength 86
cool
official visit Jun 12
Kentucky logoKentucky
SEC · strength 74
cold
offered Apr 3
Louisville logoLouisville
ACC · strength 70
cold
offered Apr 3
Baylor logoBaylor
Big 12 · strength 63
cold
offered Apr 15
Arkansas logoArkansas
SEC · strength 61
cold
offered Mar 12
North Texas logoNorth Texas
American Athletic · strength 46
cold
offered Feb 25
Oregon State logoOregon State
Pac-12 · strength 48
cold
offered Jan 30
Florida State logoFlorida State
ACC · strength 63
cold
offered Mar 16
Oklahoma State logoOklahoma State
Big 12 · strength 53
cold
offered Feb 2
San Diego State logoSan Diego State
Mountain West · strength 42
cold
offered Mar 18
Memphis logoMemphis
American Athletic · strength 53
cold
offered Mar 31
Western Kentucky logoWestern Kentucky
Conference USA · strength 25
cold
offered Feb 9
UTEP logoUTEP
Conference USA · strength 16
cold
offered May 4
Best programs first, by what each offer is worth in our grade: program strength times how rarely that program offers (how it is made). Warm means an offer, visit or camp in the last 60 days or an official visit in the last 120; cool, contact in the last 180; cold, older or a decommit. A count is the offers on record, not every offer the staffs made.

Where he fits

best 3 of 21 offers
Best fits
Houston logoHouston
Thin at running back (3 with 2+ years left); has started 2 running backs his size since 2022; 1 in his last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 1Miami logoMiami
Has started 2 running backs his size since 2022; STM odds 35%; even at running back (4 with 2+ years left)
No. 2Florida logoFlorida
Thin at running back (3 with 2+ years left); has started 1 running back his size since 2022; 1 in his last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 3
Need (how thin the program is at his spot) x fit (whether it starts players his size) x room (who leaves after this season), and while he is uncommitted, STM odds. How it is made. Not advice, and never a dollar figure.
Where his size starts

219 of the 529 FBS starters at running back since 2022 were his size (5-10 to 6-0, 177 to 203 pounds): most in the Big Ten (33), ACC (31) and SEC (25). Programs that start it most: California (5), Maryland (5) and Purdue (5). Of his offers, Notre Dame (4), UTEP (4), LSU (2) and Ohio State (2) have started it.

Who needs him

Of his 21 offers, Florida State has the thinnest room at running back: 2 with 2+ years left of 6, 4 portal exits in 3 seasons, 1 commit this cycle. Also thin there: Louisville, Oklahoma State and Florida.

Starter seasons 2022-2026: six or more games in one of the position's starting slots by volume (college snap counts are not public). How it is made. Room is 2+ years left plus 2027 commits at the spot against the 68 programs mapped (the power conferences and Notre Dame); exits are the 2024-2026 portal feeds. How it is made.

Boards that looked like his

6 of 10 drafted, 4 in rounds 1-2
Jeremiyah LoveJeremiyah Love
Class of 2023 · RB · signed Notre Dame
Both offered by Notre Dame and LSU; both about 6-0, 190
Drafted 2026, round 1, No. 3
match 77
Terrance GibbsTerrance Gibbs
Class of 2022 · RB · signed Georgia Southern
Both offered by Ohio State and LSU; both about 6-0, 190
Not drafted yet
match 75
USC logoRonald Jones II
Class of 2015 · RB · signed USC
Both offered by Notre Dame and Ohio State; both about 6-0, 185
Drafted 2018, round 2, No. 38 · 1 NFL season as a starter
match 75
Notre Dame logoGreg Bryant
Class of 2013 · RB · signed Notre Dame
Both offered by Notre Dame and Ohio State; both about 5-11, 195
Not drafted
match 72
Racean Thomas
Class of 2014 · RB · signing not on record
Both offered by LSU, Florida and UCLA; both about 5-11, 200
Not drafted
match 69
Show all 10
Dexter WilliamsDexter Williams
Class of 2015 · RB · signed Notre Dame
Both offered by Notre Dame, Ohio State and Florida; both about 6-0, 190
Drafted 2019, round 6, No. 194
match 69
Bijan RobinsonBijan Robinson
Class of 2020 · RB · signed Texas
Both offered by Ohio State and LSU; both about 6-0, 200
Drafted 2023, round 1, No. 8 · 3 NFL seasons as a starter
match 67
Christian McCaffreyChristian McCaffrey
Class of 2014 · APB · signed Stanford
Both offered by Notre Dame and UCLA; both about 6-0, 195
Drafted 2017, round 1, No. 8 · 6 NFL seasons as a starter
match 66
Damien HarrisDamien Harris
Class of 2015 · RB · signed Alabama
Both offered by Notre Dame and Ohio State; both about 5-11, 205
Drafted 2019, round 3, No. 87
match 66
Utah logoJohn Randle Jr.
Class of 2023 · RB · signed Utah
6 offers from top-25 programs; Lacey had 8; both about 6-0, 185
Not drafted yet
match 65
Past recruits whose offer boards looked most like his: same position, about the same size, offers from programs of the same strength, about as many. Past boards are offers at signing day; his is the board he holds today (Nov 2, 2026). Classes 2016 to 2026 are thin in our record today, so most matches come from 2010 to 2015. 7 of these 10 have finished their draft window. History, not a forecast for him.

Timeline

24 dated moves since Jan 30, 2026
LSU logoDecommitted LSUOct 22
Miami logoOfficial visit MiamiJun 12
LSU logoCommitted LSUJun 7
UTEP logoOffered UTEPMay 4
Baylor logoOffered BaylorApr 15
LSU logoOffered LSUApr 8
UCLA logoOffered UCLAApr 7
Kentucky logoOffered KentuckyApr 3
Show all 24 moves
Louisville logoOffered LouisvilleApr 3
Memphis logoOffered MemphisMar 31
Florida logoOffered FloridaMar 27
San Diego State logoOffered San Diego StateMar 18
Florida State logoOffered Florida StateMar 16
Miami logoOffered MiamiMar 16
Arkansas logoOffered ArkansasMar 12
Ohio State logoOffered Ohio StateMar 6
Texas Tech logoOffered Texas TechMar 6
Houston logoOffered HoustonMar 5
Notre Dame logoOffered Notre DameMar 5
TCU logoOffered TCUMar 4
North Texas logoOffered North TexasFeb 25
Western Kentucky logoOffered Western KentuckyFeb 9
Oklahoma State logoOffered Oklahoma StateFeb 2
Oregon State logoOffered Oregon StateJan 30
Newest first, from recruit posts and the national recruiting data. An offer with no posted date sits in the offers list only.
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Every 2027 classHow the grades are made