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Class of 2027 · receiver

Bryson Thompson

5-9, 175 · San Antonio Johnson · SAN ANTONIO, TX

Uncommitted since Oct 14, after decommitting from Iowa State

66offer strength · No. 854
0.8711composite · 3-star
11offers · 7 power

Where he is likely to commit

STM odds · provisional
Iowa State logoIowa State
official visit Jun 12; he decommitted from them Oct 14; last contact Jun 12
36%
TCU logoTCU
one of the stronger programs on his board; in-state; no official visit yet
14%
Texas Tech logoTexas Tech
the strongest program on his board; last contact Jun 2; in-state
12%
Show all 5 programsTexas State logoTexas State
weaker than most programs on his board; last contact Mar 26; in-state
8%
Baylor logoBaylor
last contact Jun 8; in-state; one of the stronger programs on his board
8%
Shares of 100% across his offers, from dated offers, visits, distance, need and recent contact; no expert picks or rankings. On 212 held-out commits the top pick was right 42% of the time (visits alone 23%). How the odds are made.

Every offer

11 offers · visited 1
Texas Tech logoTexas Tech
Big 12 · strength 84
cold
offered Jun 2, 2024
TCU logoTCU
Big 12 · strength 78
cold
offered Jan 9, 2025
Iowa State logoIowa State
Big 12 · strength 72
Decommitted
Oct 14
Mississippi State logoMississippi State
SEC · strength 67
cold
offered Apr 5, 2025
Baylor logoBaylor
Big 12 · strength 63
cold
offered Jun 8, 2024
Vanderbilt logoVanderbilt
SEC · strength 54
cold
offered Apr 25, 2025
Show all 11 offersOklahoma State logoOklahoma State
Big 12 · strength 53
cold
offered Feb 13, 2025
UTSA logoUTSA
American Athletic · strength 45
cold
offered Apr 1, 2023
Texas State logoTexas State
Sun Belt · strength 38
cold
offered Mar 26
Tulsa logoTulsa
American Athletic · strength 29
cold
offered Jan 8
Colorado State logoColorado State
Mountain West · strength 28
cold
offered Jan 23
Best programs first, by what each offer is worth in our grade: program strength times how rarely that program offers (how it is made). Warm means an offer, visit or camp in the last 60 days or an official visit in the last 120; cool, contact in the last 180; cold, older or a decommit. A count is the offers on record, not every offer the staffs made.

Where he fits

best 3 of 11 offers
Best fits
Iowa State logoIowa State
Has started 2 receivers his size since 2022; STM odds 36%; 1 in his last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 1
Baylor logoBaylor
Thin at receiver (8 with 2+ years left); 2 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season; has started 1 receiver his size since 2022
No. 2
TCU logoTCU
Has started 2 receivers his size since 2022; 1 in his last year, so a spot opens for his first season; even at receiver (10 with 2+ years left)
No. 3
Need (how thin the program is at his spot) x fit (whether it starts players his size) x room (who leaves after this season), and while he is uncommitted, STM odds. How it is made. Not advice, and never a dollar figure.
Where his size starts

249 of the 1,613 FBS starters at receiver since 2022 were his size (5-8 to 5-10, 163 to 187 pounds): most in the SEC (37), ACC (36) and American Athletic (33). Programs that start it most: Georgia Tech (7), Vanderbilt (7) and Southern Miss (6). Of his offers, Vanderbilt (7), Mississippi State (3), TCU (2) and Iowa State (2) have started it.

Who needs him

Of his 11 offers, Baylor has the thinnest room at receiver: 8 with 2+ years left of 15, 2 in their last year, 5 portal exits in 3 seasons, 1 commit this cycle.

Starter seasons 2022-2026: six or more games in one of the position's starting slots by volume (college snap counts are not public). How it is made. Room is 2+ years left plus 2027 commits at the spot against the 68 programs mapped (the power conferences and Notre Dame); exits are the 2024-2026 portal feeds. How it is made.

Boards that looked like his

1 of 10 drafted, 1 in rounds 1-2
Phillip DorsettPhillip Dorsett
Class of 2011 · WR · signed Miami
6 offers from top-25 programs; Thompson had 2; both about 5-10, 170
Drafted 2015, round 1, No. 29 · 4 NFL seasons as a starter
match 69
Levonte Whitfield
Class of 2013 · WR · signing not on record
5 offers from top-25 programs; Thompson had 2; both about 5-9, 175
Not drafted
match 68
Alfred Smith
Class of 2015 · WR · signing not on record
4 offers from top-25 programs; Thompson had 2; both about 5-10, 180
Not drafted
match 68
Florida logoSolomon Patton
Class of 2010 · WR · signed Florida
4 offers from top-25 programs; Thompson had 2; both about 5-10, 175
Not drafted
match 68
Penn State logoBrandon Polk
Class of 2015 · WR · signed Penn State
1 offers from top-25 programs; Thompson had 2; both about 5-9, 165
Not drafted
match 66
Show all 10
Ohio State logoJames Louis
Class of 2010 · WR · signed Ohio State
8 offers from top-25 programs; Thompson had 2; both about 5-10, 175
Not drafted
match 63
Tennessee logoRyan Jenkins
Class of 2013 · WR · signed Tennessee
Both offered by Mississippi State and Oklahoma State; 5-10, 181
Not drafted
match 62
Florida State logoMarvin Bracy
Class of 2012 · WR · signed Florida State
8 offers from top-25 programs; Thompson had 2; both about 5-9, 165
Not drafted
match 62
Alabama logoCole Adams
Class of 2023 · WR · signed Alabama
Both offered by Texas Tech, TCU and Iowa State; both about 5-10, 180
Not drafted yet
match 61
Alton Howard
Class of 2012 · WR · signing not on record
8 offers from top-25 programs; Thompson had 2; both about 5-9, 180
Not drafted
match 60
Past recruits whose offer boards looked most like his: same position, about the same size, offers from programs of the same strength, about as many. Past boards are offers at signing day; his is the board he holds today (Nov 2, 2026). Classes 2016 to 2026 are thin in our record today, so most matches come from 2010 to 2015. 9 of these 10 have finished their draft window. History, not a forecast for him.

Timeline

14 dated moves since Apr 1, 2023
Iowa State logoDecommitted Iowa StateOct 14
Iowa State logoOfficial visit Iowa StateJun 12
Iowa State logoCommitted Iowa StateApr 6
Texas State logoOffered Texas StateMar 26
Iowa State logoOffered Iowa StateMar 25
Colorado State logoOffered Colorado StateJan 23
Tulsa logoOffered TulsaJan 8
Vanderbilt logoOffered VanderbiltApr 25, 2025
Show all 14 moves
Mississippi State logoOffered Mississippi StateApr 5, 2025
Oklahoma State logoOffered Oklahoma StateFeb 13, 2025
TCU logoOffered TCUJan 9, 2025
Baylor logoOffered BaylorJun 8, 2024
Texas Tech logoOffered Texas TechJun 2, 2024
UTSA logoOffered UTSAApr 1, 2023
Newest first, from recruit posts and the national recruiting data. An offer with no posted date sits in the offers list only.
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