Class of 2027 · running back
Caden Waye
5-11, 185 · Ola · Mcdonough, GA
Uncommitted
84offer strength · No. 319
0.8968composite · 4-star, top 500
35offers · 28 power
Where he is likely to commit
STM odds · provisional
Ohio Stateone of the stronger programs on his board; one of their earliest offers in his class; out of state
6%
Notre Damethe strongest program on his board; last contact Aug 11; a later offer for them
5%
Georgia Techin-state; close to home; weaker than most programs on his board
5%Show all 5 programs
South Carolinaone of the stronger programs on his board; 180 miles from home; one of their earliest offers in his class
5%
Penn Stateone of the stronger programs on his board; last contact Oct 10; 620 miles from home
5%Shares of 100% across his offers, from dated offers, visits, distance, need and recent contact; no expert picks or rankings. On 212 held-out commits the top pick was right 42% of the time (visits alone 23%). How the odds are made.
Every offer
35 offers · visited 1
Notre Damecold
offered Aug 11, 2025
Texascold
offered Jun 16, 2025
Oregoncold
offered Mar 4, 2025
Ohio Statecold
offered May 5, 2025
South Carolinacold
offered Mar 31, 2025
Floridacold
offered May 15, 2025
Show all 35 offers
USCcold
offered Jun 20, 2024
Penn Statecold
offered Oct 10, 2025
Ole Misscold
offered Jun 6, 2025
Michigancold
offered May 19, 2025
Wisconsincold
offered Apr 3, 2025
Auburncold
offered May 19, 2025
Indianacold
offered Jan 18, 2025
Stanfordcold
offered Aug 27, 2025
Kentuckycold
offered Sep 22, 2025
Cincinnaticold
offered Sep 13, 2025
Mississippi Statecold
offered May 13, 2025
Tennesseecold
offered May 6, 2025
Dukecold
offered May 5, 2025
Missouricold
offered Aug 23, 2025
Louisvillecold
offered May 8, 2025
Arkansascold
offered Mar 6, 2025
Syracusecold
offered Apr 30, 2025
Georgia Techcold
offered Apr 28, 2025
Florida Statecold
visited Nov 1, 2025
Michigan Statecold
offered Apr 2, 2025
Kansascold
offered Apr 30, 2025
Purduecold
offered Jun 15, 2025
Memphiscold
offered May 9, 2025
Toledocold
offered Nov 5, 2024
UABcold
offered May 6, 2025
Georgia Southerncold
offered Jan 29, 2025
Western Kentuckycold
offered May 5, 2025
Georgia Statecold
offered Jan 11, 2025
Arkansas Statecold
offered Mar 6, 2025
Best programs first, by what each offer is worth in our grade: program strength times how rarely that program offers (how it is made). Warm means an offer, visit or camp in the last 60 days or an official visit in the last 120; cool, contact in the last 180; cold, older or a decommit. A count is the offers on record, not every offer the staffs made.
Where he fits
best 3 of 35 offers
Best fits
FloridaNo. 1Florida StateNo. 2TexasNo. 3Need (how thin the program is at his spot) x fit (whether it starts players his size) x room (who leaves after this season), and while he is uncommitted, STM odds. How it is made. Not advice, and never a dollar figure.
Where his size starts
179 of the 529 FBS starters at running back since 2022 were his size (5-10 to 6-0, 172 to 198 pounds): most in the ACC (26), Big Ten (26) and Big 12 (22). Programs that start it most: California (5), Maryland (5) and Purdue (5). Of his offers, Purdue (5), Notre Dame (4), Auburn (4) and Tennessee (4) have started it.
Who needs him
Of his 35 offers, Florida State has the thinnest room at running back: 2 with 2+ years left of 6, 4 portal exits in 3 seasons, 1 commit this cycle. Also thin there: Stanford, Louisville and Florida.
Starter seasons 2022-2026: six or more games in one of the position's starting slots by volume (college snap counts are not public). How it is made. Room is 2+ years left plus 2027 commits at the spot against the 68 programs mapped (the power conferences and Notre Dame); exits are the 2024-2026 portal feeds. How it is made.
Boards that looked like his
3 of 10 drafted, 2 in rounds 1-2
Terrance GibbsNot drafted yet
match 68
Greg BryantNot drafted
match 64
Ryan GreenNot drafted
match 63
Show all 10
Aneyas WilliamsIn college now
match 63
Dontre WilsonNot drafted
match 61
Dwight Phillips Jr.In college now
match 59
Taj GriffinNot drafted
match 57
Past recruits whose offer boards looked most like his: same position, about the same size, offers from programs of the same strength, about as many. Past boards are offers at signing day; his is the board he holds today (Nov 2, 2026). Classes 2016 to 2026 are thin in our record today, so most matches come from 2010 to 2015. 6 of these 10 have finished their draft window. History, not a forecast for him.
His board on any day
Jun 2024 to today
Jun 2024NovAprSepFebJulNov 2026
Drag to any month: the offers, the timeline, the grade and the stars become what they were on the last day of it, on today's scale. How the grade is made.
Timeline
36 dated moves since Jun 20, 2024
Unofficial visit Florida StateNov 1, 2025Offered Penn StateOct 10, 2025Offered KentuckySep 22, 2025Offered CincinnatiSep 13, 2025Offered StanfordAug 27, 2025Offered MissouriAug 23, 2025Offered Notre DameAug 11, 2025Offered TexasJun 16, 2025Show all 36 moves
Offered PurdueJun 15, 2025Offered Ole MissJun 6, 2025Offered AuburnMay 19, 2025Offered MichiganMay 19, 2025Offered FloridaMay 15, 2025Offered Mississippi StateMay 13, 2025Offered Florida StateMay 9, 2025Offered MemphisMay 9, 2025Offered LouisvilleMay 8, 2025Offered TennesseeMay 6, 2025Offered UABMay 6, 2025Offered DukeMay 5, 2025Offered Ohio StateMay 5, 2025Offered Western KentuckyMay 5, 2025Offered KansasApr 30, 2025Offered SyracuseApr 30, 2025Offered Georgia TechApr 28, 2025Offered WisconsinApr 3, 2025Offered Michigan StateApr 2, 2025Offered South CarolinaMar 31, 2025Offered ArkansasMar 6, 2025Offered Arkansas StateMar 6, 2025Offered OregonMar 4, 2025Offered Georgia SouthernJan 29, 2025Offered IndianaJan 18, 2025Offered Georgia StateJan 11, 2025Offered ToledoNov 5, 2024Offered USCJun 20, 2024Newest first, from recruit posts and the national recruiting data. An offer with no posted date sits in the offers list only.
Claim it free: add offers we missed, measurables and a film link. A parent or guardian claims for a recruit under 18, and we never publish contact details, handles or dollars.