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Class of 2027 · defensive lineman

Charles Nance

6-2, 280 · Dooly County · Vienna, GA

Uncommitted since Oct 21, after decommitting from Western Michigan

71offer strength · No. 691
0.8650composite · 3-star
47offers · 21 power

Where he is likely to commit

STM odds · provisional
Florida State logoFlorida State
camped there Jan 17; one of the stronger programs on his board; unofficial visit Oct 11
10%
Florida logoFlorida
one of the stronger programs on his board; last contact Apr 12; 190 miles from home
7%
Georgia Tech logoGeorgia Tech
in-state; unofficial visit Mar 19; last contact Mar 19
6%
Show all 5 programsAuburn logoAuburn
one of the stronger programs on his board; last contact Apr 2; 100 miles from home
6%
South Carolina logoSouth Carolina
one of the stronger programs on his board; 210 miles from home; out of state
5%
Shares of 100% across his offers, from dated offers, visits, distance, need and recent contact; no expert picks or rankings. On 212 held-out commits the top pick was right 42% of the time (visits alone 23%). How the odds are made.

Every offer

47 offers · visited 2
LSU logoLSU
SEC · strength 91
cold
offered Oct 16, 2025
South Carolina logoSouth Carolina
SEC · strength 82
cold
offered Nov 29, 2025
Florida logoFlorida
SEC · strength 85
cold
offered Apr 12
Boise State logoBoise State
Mountain West · strength 78
cold
offered Mar 3
NC State logoNC State
ACC · strength 66
cold
offered Nov 14, 2025
Auburn logoAuburn
SEC · strength 76
cold
offered Apr 2
Show all 47 offersKansas State logoKansas State
Big 12 · strength 66
cold
offered Jan 3
Cincinnati logoCincinnati
Big 12 · strength 64
cold
offered Apr 2
Virginia Tech logoVirginia Tech
ACC · strength 64
cold
offered Oct 5, 2025
Pittsburgh logoPittsburgh
ACC · strength 68
cold
offered Jan 30
Washington State logoWashington State
Pac-12 · strength 54
cold
offered Oct 6, 2025
Mississippi State logoMississippi State
SEC · strength 67
cold
offered Oct 6, 2025
Tennessee logoTennessee
SEC · strength 76
cold
offered Oct 6, 2025
Missouri logoMissouri
SEC · strength 71
cold
offered Jan 18
Colorado logoColorado
Big 12 · strength 55
cold
offered Jan 14
West Virginia logoWest Virginia
Big 12 · strength 54
cold
offered May 11, 2025
Georgia Tech logoGeorgia Tech
ACC · strength 47
cold
visited Mar 19
Vanderbilt logoVanderbilt
SEC · strength 54
cold
offered Nov 25, 2025
North Carolina logoNorth Carolina
ACC · strength 58
cold
offered Feb 16
Florida State logoFlorida State
ACC · strength 63
cold
junior day Jan 17
Kansas logoKansas
Big 12 · strength 51
cold
offered Sep 30, 2025
Oklahoma State logoOklahoma State
Big 12 · strength 53
cold
offered May 28, 2025
SMU logoSMU
ACC · strength 58
cold
offered Dec 7, 2025
Jacksonville State logoJacksonville State
Conference USA · strength 33
cold
offered Jan 28
South Florida logoSouth Florida
American Athletic · strength 44
cold
offered Sep 21, 2025
UNLV logoUNLV
Mountain West · strength 32
cold
offered Dec 28, 2024
Western Michigan logoWestern Michigan
Mid-American · strength 41
Decommitted
Oct 21
Florida Atlantic logoFlorida Atlantic
American Athletic · strength 30
cold
offered Jun 15, 2025
App State logoApp State
Sun Belt · strength 29
cold
offered Jan 24
Coastal Carolina logoCoastal Carolina
Sun Belt · strength 26
cold
offered May 7, 2025
Louisiana Tech logoLouisiana Tech
Conference USA · strength 37
cool
offered Jun 2
UAB logoUAB
American Athletic · strength 21
cold
offered Jun 3, 2025
Liberty logoLiberty
Conference USA · strength 32
cold
offered Jan 28
Marshall logoMarshall
Sun Belt · strength 27
cool
offered Jun 2
Georgia Southern logoGeorgia Southern
Sun Belt · strength 26
cold
offered Jan 28
Western Kentucky logoWestern Kentucky
Conference USA · strength 25
cold
offered Jan 12, 2025
Miami (OH) logoMiami (OH)
Mid-American · strength 23
cool
offered Jun 2
Troy logoTroy
Sun Belt · strength 21
cold
offered Jul 4, 2025
Arkansas State logoArkansas State
Sun Belt · strength 15
cold
offered Aug 10, 2025
Kennesaw State logoKennesaw State
Conference USA · strength 12
cold
offered Feb 10
Chattanooga logoChattanooga
cold
offered Oct 6, 2025
Eastern Kentucky logoEastern Kentucky
cold
offered Oct 6, 2025
Jackson State logoJackson State
cold
offered Apr 2
Mercer logoMercer
cold
offered Oct 6, 2025
Samford logoSamford
cold
offered Apr 2
Stony Brook logoStony Brook
cold
offered Oct 6, 2025
Wofford logoWofford
cold
offered Oct 6, 2025
Best programs first, by what each offer is worth in our grade: program strength times how rarely that program offers (how it is made). Warm means an offer, visit or camp in the last 60 days or an official visit in the last 120; cool, contact in the last 180; cold, older or a decommit. A count is the offers on record, not every offer the staffs made.

Where he fits

best 3 of 47 offers
Best fits
Missouri logoMissouri
Thin at defensive line (8 with 2+ years left); has started 4 defensive lines his size since 2022; 4 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 1
Florida logoFlorida
Thin at defensive line (8 with 2+ years left); STM odds 7%; has started 1 defensive line his size since 2022
No. 2
NC State logoNC State
Thin at defensive line (8 with 2+ years left); has started 6 defensive lines his size since 2022; 2 in their last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 3
Need (how thin the program is at his spot) x fit (whether it starts players his size) x room (who leaves after this season), and while he is uncommitted, STM odds. How it is made. Not advice, and never a dollar figure.
Where his size starts

348 of the 1,993 FBS starters at edge rusher and interior defender since 2022 were his size (6-1 to 6-3, 260 to 300 pounds): most in the ACC (55), Sun Belt (46) and American Athletic (42). Programs that start it most: Cincinnati (9), Virginia (8) and Bowling Green (7). Of his offers, Cincinnati (9), NC State (6), Tennessee (6) and Florida Atlantic (6) have started it.

Who needs him

Of his 47 offers, Colorado has the thinnest room at defensive line: 6 with 2+ years left of 17, 2 in their last year, 20 portal exits in 3 seasons, 3 commits this cycle. Also thin there: SMU, Missouri and Oklahoma State.

Starter seasons 2022-2026: six or more games in one of the position's starting slots by volume (college snap counts are not public). How it is made. Room is 2+ years left plus 2027 commits at the spot against the 68 programs mapped (the power conferences and Notre Dame); exits are the 2024-2026 portal feeds. How it is made.

Boards that looked like his

0 of 10 drafted
Maryland logoAdam McLean
Class of 2015 · DT · signed Maryland
11 offers from top-25 programs; Nance had 4; both about 6-2, 290
Not drafted
match 71
Nebraska logoPeyton Newell
Class of 2014 · DT · signed Nebraska
Both offered by South Carolina and Missouri; both about 6-2, 290
Not drafted
match 68
Jozie Milton
Class of 2015 · DT · signing not on record
Both offered by Florida and South Carolina; both about 6-3, 295
Not drafted
match 64
USC logoCarlon Jones
Class of 2024 · DL · signed USC
6 offers from top-25 programs; Nance had 4; both about 6-2, 285
In college now
match 63
Florida State logoKeith Bryant
Class of 2013 · DT · signed Florida State
Both offered by Florida, South Carolina and Auburn; 6-1, 302
Not drafted
match 62
Show all 10
Texas logoMarcel Southall
Class of 2016 · DT · signed Texas
Both offered by Florida and Missouri; both about 6-2, 285
Not drafted
match 62
Florida State logoDarvin Taylor II
Class of 2015 · DT · signed Florida State
Both offered by Florida, South Carolina and Missouri; both about 6-2, 295
Not drafted
match 62
Michael WilliamsMichael Williams
Class of 2016 · DT · signed Stanford
10 offers from top-25 programs; Nance had 4; 6-1, 305
Not drafted
match 59
Vanderbilt logoJay Woods
Class of 2013 · DT · signed Vanderbilt
5 offers from top-25 programs; Nance had 4; both about 6-3, 275
Not drafted
match 58
Texas logoD'Andre Christmas
Class of 2016 · DT · signed Texas
Both offered by LSU, South Carolina and Tennessee; both about 6-3, 290
Not drafted
match 57
Past recruits whose offer boards looked most like his: same position, about the same size, offers from programs of the same strength, about as many. Past boards are offers at signing day; his is the board he holds today (Nov 2, 2026). Classes 2016 to 2026 are thin in our record today, so most matches come from 2010 to 2015. 9 of these 10 have finished their draft window. History, not a forecast for him.

Timeline

53 dated moves since Dec 28, 2024
Western Michigan logoDecommitted Western MichiganOct 21
Western Michigan logoCommitted Western MichiganJun 20
Western Michigan logoOffered Western MichiganJun 9
Louisiana Tech logoOffered Louisiana TechJun 2
Marshall logoOffered MarshallJun 2
Miami (OH) logoOffered Miami (OH)Jun 2
Florida logoOffered FloridaApr 12
Auburn logoOffered AuburnApr 2
Show all 53 moves
Cincinnati logoOffered CincinnatiApr 2
Jackson State logoOffered Jackson StateApr 2
Samford logoOffered SamfordApr 2
Georgia Tech logoUnofficial visit Georgia TechMar 19
Boise State logoOffered Boise StateMar 3
North Carolina logoOffered North CarolinaFeb 16
Kennesaw State logoOffered Kennesaw StateFeb 10
Pittsburgh logoOffered PittsburghJan 30
Georgia Southern logoOffered Georgia SouthernJan 28
Jacksonville State logoOffered Jacksonville StateJan 28
Liberty logoOffered LibertyJan 28
App State logoOffered App StateJan 24
Missouri logoOffered MissouriJan 18
Florida State logoJunior day Florida StateJan 17
Colorado logoCommitted ColoradoJan 14
Colorado logoOffered ColoradoJan 14
Kansas State logoOffered Kansas StateJan 3
SMU logoOffered SMUDec 7, 2025
South Carolina logoOffered South CarolinaNov 29, 2025
Vanderbilt logoOffered VanderbiltNov 25, 2025
NC State logoOffered NC StateNov 14, 2025
Florida State logoOffered Florida StateOct 21, 2025
LSU logoOffered LSUOct 16, 2025
Florida State logoUnofficial visit Florida StateOct 11, 2025
Georgia Tech logoOffered Georgia TechOct 9, 2025
Chattanooga logoOffered ChattanoogaOct 6, 2025
Eastern Kentucky logoOffered Eastern KentuckyOct 6, 2025
Mercer logoOffered MercerOct 6, 2025
Mississippi State logoOffered Mississippi StateOct 6, 2025
Stony Brook logoOffered Stony BrookOct 6, 2025
Tennessee logoOffered TennesseeOct 6, 2025
Washington State logoOffered Washington StateOct 6, 2025
Wofford logoOffered WoffordOct 6, 2025
Virginia Tech logoOffered Virginia TechOct 5, 2025
Kansas logoOffered KansasSep 30, 2025
South Florida logoOffered South FloridaSep 21, 2025
Arkansas State logoOffered Arkansas StateAug 10, 2025
Troy logoOffered TroyJul 4, 2025
Florida Atlantic logoOffered Florida AtlanticJun 15, 2025
UAB logoOffered UABJun 3, 2025
Oklahoma State logoOffered Oklahoma StateMay 28, 2025
West Virginia logoOffered West VirginiaMay 11, 2025
Coastal Carolina logoOffered Coastal CarolinaMay 7, 2025
Western Kentucky logoOffered Western KentuckyJan 12, 2025
UNLV logoOffered UNLVDec 28, 2024
Newest first, from recruit posts and the national recruiting data. An offer with no posted date sits in the offers list only.
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