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Class of 2027 · quarterback

Daniel Mielke

6-4, 205 · Murrieta Valley · Murrieta, CA

Uncommitted

74offer strength · No. 621
0.8400composite · 3-star
15offers · 12 power

Where he is likely to commit

STM odds · provisional
Oregon logoOregon
one of the stronger programs on his board; 790 miles from home
13%
Texas A&M logoTexas A&M
one of the stronger programs on his board
11%
Washington logoWashington
one of the stronger programs on his board; 1,010 miles from home
10%
Show all 5 programsPurdue logoPurdue
last contact Nov 28; weaker than most programs on his board; unofficial visit Nov 28
9%
Georgia logoGeorgia
the strongest program on his board; last contact May 18; 1,930 miles from home
9%
Shares of 100% across his offers, from dated offers, visits, distance, need and recent contact; no expert picks or rankings. On 212 held-out commits the top pick was right 42% of the time (visits alone 23%). How the odds are made.

Every offer

15 offers · visited 1
Oregon logoOregon
Big Ten · strength 89
cold
offered May 17, 2024
Washington logoWashington
Big Ten · strength 84
cold
offered May 16, 2024
Georgia logoGeorgia
SEC · strength 90
cold
offered May 18, 2023
Texas A&M logoTexas A&M
SEC · strength 86
cold
offered Jun 15, 2024
Minnesota logoMinnesota
Big Ten · strength 71
cold
offered May 1, 2025
Michigan logoMichigan
Big Ten · strength 78
cold
offered Aug 1, 2023
Show all 15 offersAuburn logoAuburn
SEC · strength 76
cold
offered May 17, 2024
Indiana logoIndiana
Big Ten · strength 74
cold
offered May 18, 2023
Boston College logoBoston College
ACC · strength 59
cold
offered May 18, 2023
Nebraska logoNebraska
Big Ten · strength 63
cold
offered May 18, 2023
Arizona State logoArizona State
Big 12 · strength 56
cold
offered May 18, 2023
Purdue logoPurdue
Big Ten · strength 50
cold
visited Nov 28, 2025
Charlotte logoCharlotte
American Athletic · strength 26
cold
offered Aug 1, 2023
Colorado State logoColorado State
Mountain West · strength 28
cold
offered May 18, 2023
UAB logoUAB
American Athletic · strength 21
cool
offered May 15
Best programs first, by what each offer is worth in our grade: program strength times how rarely that program offers (how it is made). Warm means an offer, visit or camp in the last 60 days or an official visit in the last 120; cool, contact in the last 180; cold, older or a decommit. A count is the offers on record, not every offer the staffs made.

Where he fits

best 3 of 15 offers
Best fits
Purdue logoPurdue
Has started 2 quarterbacks his size since 2022; STM odds 9%; 1 in his last year, so a spot opens for his first season
No. 1
Auburn logoAuburn
Has started 2 quarterbacks his size since 2022; 1 in his last year, so a spot opens for his first season; STM odds 8%
No. 2
Michigan logoMichigan
Has started 2 quarterbacks his size since 2022; 1 in his last year, so a spot opens for his first season; STM odds 6%
No. 3
Need (how thin the program is at his spot) x fit (whether it starts players his size) x room (who leaves after this season), and while he is uncommitted, STM odds. How it is made. Not advice, and never a dollar figure.
Where his size starts

157 of the 535 FBS starters at quarterback since 2022 were his size (6-3 to 6-5, 191 to 219 pounds): most in the Big Ten (26), SEC (25) and ACC (21). Programs that start it most: Arkansas (5), Texas (5) and Duke (4). Of his offers, Colorado State (3), Michigan (2), Auburn (2) and Indiana (2) have started it.

Who needs him

Of his 15 offers, Auburn has the thinnest room at quarterback: 2 with 2+ years left of 6, 1 in his last year, 7 portal exits in 3 seasons, 1 commit this cycle.

Starter seasons 2022-2026: six or more games in one of the position's starting slots by volume (college snap counts are not public). How it is made. Room is 2+ years left plus 2027 commits at the spot against the 68 programs mapped (the power conferences and Notre Dame); exits are the 2024-2026 portal feeds. How it is made.

Boards that looked like his

2 of 10 drafted, 1 in rounds 1-2
Josh RosenJosh Rosen
Class of 2015 · PRO · signed UCLA
Both offered by Washington and Michigan; both about 6-4, 205
Drafted 2018, round 1, No. 10 · 1 NFL season as a starter
match 82
Louisville logoJawon Pass
Class of 2016 · DUAL · signed Louisville
Both offered by Texas A&M and Auburn; both about 6-4, 210
Not drafted
match 80
Jarrett StidhamJarrett Stidham
Class of 2015 · DUAL · signed Baylor
Both offered by Oregon and Texas A&M; both about 6-4, 195
Drafted 2019, round 4, No. 133 from Auburn
match 69
Stanford logoKJ Costello
Class of 2016 · PRO · signed Stanford
Both offered by Texas A&M and Michigan; both about 6-4, 215
Not drafted
match 68
Oklahoma logoCody Thomas
Class of 2013 · PRO · signed Oklahoma
10 offers from top-25 programs; Mielke had 5; both about 6-5, 210
Not drafted
match 68
Show all 10
USC logoMax Browne
Class of 2013 · PRO · signed USC
Both offered by Washington and Auburn; both about 6-5, 210
Not drafted
match 66
USC logoRicky Town
Class of 2015 · PRO · signed USC
6 offers from top-25 programs; Mielke had 5; both about 6-3, 205
Not drafted
match 65
Alabama logoBlake Barnett
Class of 2015 · PRO · signed Alabama
Both offered by Oregon and Michigan; both about 6-4, 200
Not drafted
match 64
Stanford logoJack West
Class of 2018 · PRO · signed Stanford
Both offered by Texas A&M, Michigan and Auburn; both about 6-4, 215
Not drafted
match 64
Jarrett GuarantanoJarrett Guarantano
Class of 2016 · DUAL · signed Tennessee
Both offered by Michigan and Auburn; both about 6-4, 200
Not drafted
match 63
Past recruits whose offer boards looked most like his: same position, about the same size, offers from programs of the same strength, about as many. Past boards are offers at signing day; his is the board he holds today (Nov 2, 2026). Classes 2016 to 2026 are thin in our record today, so most matches come from 2010 to 2015. 10 of these 10 have finished their draft window. History, not a forecast for him.

Timeline

17 dated moves since May 18, 2023
UAB logoOffered UABMay 15
Purdue logoUnofficial visit PurdueNov 28, 2025
Minnesota logoOffered MinnesotaMay 1, 2025
Purdue logoOffered PurdueApr 22, 2025
Texas A&M logoOffered Texas A&MJun 15, 2024
Auburn logoOffered AuburnMay 17, 2024
Oregon logoOffered OregonMay 17, 2024
Washington logoOffered WashingtonMay 16, 2024
Show all 17 moves
Charlotte logoOffered CharlotteAug 1, 2023
Michigan logoOffered MichiganAug 1, 2023
Florida State logoCamp Florida StateJun 11, 2023
Arizona State logoOffered Arizona StateMay 18, 2023
Boston College logoOffered Boston CollegeMay 18, 2023
Colorado State logoOffered Colorado StateMay 18, 2023
Georgia logoOffered GeorgiaMay 18, 2023
Indiana logoOffered IndianaMay 18, 2023
Nebraska logoOffered NebraskaMay 18, 2023
Newest first, from recruit posts and the national recruiting data. An offer with no posted date sits in the offers list only.
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